AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4cb184e5dc458f3b03e6da54c87f7272e478bffe30c2d8157c6df8e2eb8c985
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,795,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,960,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,795,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0ca…66edbacked No | 17c | 147,908$25,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,178.39 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 0c | 84,748$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 11c | 70,081$7,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,920.61 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 1c | 69,951$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x907d…20c4backed No | 0c | 67,461$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…43a6backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 0%0 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 19c | 45,927$8,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,744.36 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 72c | 38,973$28,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,944.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a4…6356backed Yes | 78c | 38,352$30,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3f…ac90backed No | 9c | 31,527$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…ed58backed No | 19c | 30,621$5,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,882.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4e…5502backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 0%0 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…818abacked Yes | 79c | 29,263$23,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,262.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…8b3bbacked Yes | 78c | 24,352$19,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,337.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 3c | 14,251$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.02 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 13c | 13,815$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.4 | 50 | 12%6 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda15…f349backed No | 6c | 13,587$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 13,316$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.48 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 76c | 12,626$9,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 22c | 12,516$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.32 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…c6ebbacked Yes | 78c | 11,234$8,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed No | 3c | 10,158$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.42 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35e…0188backed Yes | 73c | 9,744$7,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 2c | 9,342$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.07 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…72b0backed Yes | 78c | 9,200$7,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 10c | 9,144$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.4 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…089fbacked No | 1c | 8,328$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.44 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 63c | 7,726$4,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820.55 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 11c | 7,578$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.66 | 138 | 8%11 W · 127 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…9810backed Yes | 64c | 6,801$4,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,422.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 6,304$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.68 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 0c | 5,623$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 5,293$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 22c | 5,292$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,166.88 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes | 78c | 5,000$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 4,962$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.67 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 77c | 4,526$3,506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.39 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -8.3wins | -0.33per pick | 57cpaid | -67%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 3c | 4,497$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 3c | 4,336$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 0c | 4,330$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 35c | 4,248$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.17 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…9612backed No | 5c | 4,039$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.19 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 2c | 3,836$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…1638backed No | 2c | 3,769$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8d…24a9backed No | 1c | 3,706$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…ec81backed No | 21c | 3,444$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…fec5backed Yes | 79c | 3,287$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…a417backed Yes | 79c | 3,110$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca9…37d1backed No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…c16abacked No | 22c | 2,929$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…5e2abacked No | 1c | 2,810$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…3edfbacked No | 2c | 2,704$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 33c | 2,661$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.82 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 13c | 2,648$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 1c | 2,498$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe153…ba59backed No | 3c | 2,468$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 15c | 2,429$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.21 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 27c | 2,419$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.23 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…fd66backed No | 19c | 2,359$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 75c | 2,347$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed No | 5c | 2,300$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.13 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 8c | 2,274$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 2c | 2,126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…f115backed Yes | 76c | 2,042$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b91…982dbacked No | 2c | 2,017$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked No | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 2,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 78c | 2,000$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c5…6dd1backed Yes | 78c | 1,978$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…1ba4backed Yes | 51c | 1,944$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e9…e288backed Yes | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed No | 15c | 1,768$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.77 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 78c | 1,700$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8432…8360backed Yes | 78c | 1,658$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 45c | 1,596$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x925a…5373backed No | 6c | 1,577$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 17c | 1,559$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.96 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5441…7c4ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,558$1,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.93 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…17febacked No | 1c | 1,553$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 25c | 1,537$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.04 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 1,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 6c | 1,482$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 5c | 1,393$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…7324backed Yes | 78c | 1,349$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…179abacked Yes | 79c | 1,323$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.41 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1b…9847backed No | 2c | 1,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…5b80backed Yes | 79c | 1,290$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…fd72backed No | 4c | 1,278$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed Yes | 79c | 1,269$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…9f6abacked No | 4c | 1,268$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ad…d90bbacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 8c | 1,239$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.46 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…4126backed Yes | 77c | 1,210$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.39 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9c…32e2backed Yes | 77c | 1,176$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.51 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 4c | 1,171$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked No | 4c | 1,161$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 2c | 1,109$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8d…6724backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.