TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ac4…4f44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
842
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 54 out of 100; worst Commodities at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1765.1%9 W · 167 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 176 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.73
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.55
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.89
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+1,478.9%+$281
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.04
Showing 25 of 176 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1703.5%6 W · 164 L+0.6wins0.00per pick3cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 170 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.49
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+7,416.3%+$1,619.1
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.32
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+2,107.9%+$369.16
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.87
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.66
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.8
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Sharjah ruler Sultan bin Muhammad Al-Qasimi arrested by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Showing 25 of 170 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT985.1%5 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid+68.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 98 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.86
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.89
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.41
Will Solana reach $120 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.11
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Solana dip to $70 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.24
Will Dogecoin reach $0.15 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.72
Will Solana reach $130 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Showing 25 of 98 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT731.4%1 W · 72 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.66
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.08
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
GPT-5.6 released by July 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
GPT-5.6 released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Canva's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.93
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.42
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.26
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.12
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.43
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.34
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.9
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.33
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.6
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT537.5%4 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.82
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.78
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.2
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.06
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.67
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,396.8%+$378.33
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$182
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.84
Will Alex Vanopslagh be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.49
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+1,020.5%+$279.83
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,685.7%+$188.8
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT530%0 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.89
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.52
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.64
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.71
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.94
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.9
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.64
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.87
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.9
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT510%0 W · 51 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.33
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.69
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.42
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.9
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.3
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.92
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.17
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.53
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT380%0 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$183.93
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.7
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.62
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.54
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.72
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.3
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.63
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.9
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.59
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.11
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will SpaceX's market cap be at least $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.98
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.61
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.3
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.9
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.76
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.74
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.45
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.83
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT214.8%1 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+216.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.34
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.42
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.58
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.61
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.94
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.73
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.81
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.67
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.03
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.12
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+6,547.1%+$2,942.19
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
All 21 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will "Thrash" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.25
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.31
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.65
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.38
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.43
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+158.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the July Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.37
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+2,048.4%+$2,381.29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+1,113.9%+$411.91
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.02
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.79
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.6
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$55.38
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.77
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.03
Trump out as President by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.06
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.41
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.6
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+1,935.6%+$760.7
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.46
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32.05
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.79
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$54.7
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.98
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.15
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$24.58
All 13 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.96
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.4
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.17
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.54
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.09
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.16
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.74
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.36
All 11 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.35
Will Canada win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Will Norway win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will France win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Sweden win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.04
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.23
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$43.55
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$23.3
All 10 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.4
Will Lionel Messi play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.