Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c0303b0dd61a800a83276a711506dc6b056104f2141d49e9b915324ac9d454

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,108,668
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $741,960

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,108,668 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 312 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	3c	59,493$1,837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,837.12	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	53,433$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.43	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	2c	45,825$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.26	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	22,104$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.64	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	20,357$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.92	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc92e…2d75backed Yes	9c	18,466$1,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,711.81	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	17,734$492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$492.34	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e2f…55cabacked Yes	0c	17,647$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.72	117	30.8%36 W · 81 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	6c	17,022$1,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,019.35	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	12,027$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.26	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	6c	11,700$721 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$721.26	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	10,353$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	10,237$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.92	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1169…d622backed Yes	1c	10,100$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	7cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	1c	10,047$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.25	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	5c	9,207$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$454.17	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	4c	9,100$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	8,500$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$397.51	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	8,426$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.83	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	5c	8,100$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.08	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	3c	8,084$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.01	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	1c	8,010$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.49	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	7,992$1,210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,209.81	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	9c	7,412$653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$652.9	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	1c	7,000$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.3	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	6c	6,962$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$436.42	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6f…b34fbacked Yes	2c	6,188$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.47	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	9c	6,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$569.97	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	0c	6,000$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	5c	5,353$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.55	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2df…3b97backed Yes	0c	4,970$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	12cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9d9…5084backed Yes	2c	4,917$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	4,763$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.94	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	1c	4,761$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.22	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	18c	4,700$844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.45	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	4,650$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.25	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	3c	4,500$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd68…0261backed Yes	3c	4,500$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.03	199	30.7%61 W · 138 L	+13.6wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	1c	4,371$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.96	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…f76abacked Yes	1c	4,177$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	39	12.8%5 W · 34 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	6cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	3c	3,900$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.2	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	8c	3,886$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.71	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	3,862$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.26	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	11c	3,396$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.14	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	17c	3,325$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.65	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	21c	3,294$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.83	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	1c	3,293$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	3,206$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.68	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	3,195$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.12	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe155…45afbacked Yes	15c	3,183$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	209	24.9%52 W · 157 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	1c	3,099$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.81	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	13c	3,033$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	3,025$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.03	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	14c	3,000$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	1c	2,981$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	2c	2,942$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.78	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	2c	2,920$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	12c	2,894$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.18	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	3c	2,849$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.44	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	2,802$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.58	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	0c	2,800$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	2,784$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.48	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe66…e61abacked Yes	0c	2,784$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.85	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	3c	2,717$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	1c	2,621$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.42	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	1c	2,561$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Yes	27c	2,509$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8793…4b62backed Yes	4c	2,373$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.76	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-85%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	1c	2,352$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.06	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	2,190$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	2c	2,175$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.57	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56df…22c3backed Yes	0c	2,104$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	6c	2,060$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.02	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	14c	2,034$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.41	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	9c	2,017$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.28	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes	6c	2,009$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.93	99	22.2%22 W · 77 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	1c	1,992$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	16c	1,957$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.22	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	1c	1,914$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	11c	1,886$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.16	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	14c	1,860$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.35	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	14c	1,844$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	7c	1,831$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.04	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	5c	1,820$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.23	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x951a…6866backed Yes	6c	1,760$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+97%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,702$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.97	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a3…f425backed Yes	1c	1,641$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	1c	1,570$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x107c…a071backed Yes	1c	1,533$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	59	20.3%12 W · 47 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+44.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3df7…1c04backed Yes	2c	1,532$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.89	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfd…8b51backed Yes	13c	1,525$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.77	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	6c	1,500$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	9c	1,500$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.7	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	7c	1,471$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	35c	1,470$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.72	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	8c	1,450$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.3	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	8c	1,436$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.7	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	1c	1,430$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	1,421$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64b4…055ebacked Yes	2c	1,409$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	58	13.8%8 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-26%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event