Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b48166faf44ba7768769cb56c9559e7075d2e8fbf2204829625b226fd420f3c

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,230,898
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,178,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,230,898 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 858 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x33d4…c167backed No	0c	70,837$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.76	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	45c	25,047$11,372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,675.38	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd968…c48cbacked No	0c	23,140$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.14	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	60c	21,996$13,127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,869.34	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	24c	19,145$4,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,506.91	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	22c	17,663$3,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,750.68	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc92e…2d75backed Yes	22c	14,347$3,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,175.08	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	51c	14,136$7,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,901.65	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	34c	13,094$4,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,406.34	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	60c	12,957$7,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,764.3	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	23c	12,734$2,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,924.09	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	32c	9,992$3,194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,798.18	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	33c	8,032$2,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,383.37	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	41c	7,999$3,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,284.76	158	44.9%71 W · 87 L	+12.4wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	57c	7,897$4,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,367.16	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	13c	7,747$1,001 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,746.01	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed No	22c	7,150$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.54	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	47c	6,830$3,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,626.28	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	33c	6,740$2,250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,489.98	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	20c	6,337$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,085.48	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	41c	6,310$2,617 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,693.27	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	18c	6,001$1,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,923.31	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed No	67c	5,969$3,997 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,996.98	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	35c	5,443$1,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,520.82	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	45c	5,420$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,959.95	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x064b…eae5backed No	27c	5,251$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.06	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	49c	5,224$2,552 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,672.66	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	27c	4,998$1,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,629.15	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	20c	4,985$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,997	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	53c	4,809$2,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,280.6	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x63ed…437dbacked No	77c	4,769$3,660 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,660.05	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.15per pick	28cpaid	-73.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7d8…9e28backed Yes	57c	4,433$2,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,914.03	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	55c	4,394$2,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,403.12	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed No	35c	4,366$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,521.16	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	4,211$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,176.89	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes	41c	4,174$1,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,454.17	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e7…ecbfbacked Yes	59c	4,171$2,467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,704.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed No	26c	4,139$1,092 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.18	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5cd4…0568backed Yes	71c	4,079$2,890 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,189.21	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	37c	4,022$1,496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,525.95	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked No	73c	3,921$2,870 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,870.03	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	17c	3,849$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,187.02	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	36c	3,815$1,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,426.72	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	17c	3,794$646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,148.21	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	34c	3,487$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.38	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	49c	3,463$1,714 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,749.7	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	23c	3,421$778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,643.25	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	64c	3,306$2,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.87	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed No	47c	3,298$1,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,550	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c8e…c29ebacked Yes	51c	3,277$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,611.24	76	23.7%18 W · 58 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	69c	3,200$2,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.6	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	29c	3,151$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,235.34	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	34c	3,115$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,067.77	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No	27c	3,050$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$822.91	183	58.5%107 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	20c	3,025$594 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,431.24	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7368…fd66backed No	65c	2,993$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,958.36	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	33c	2,909$960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,948.96	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	72c	2,882$2,069 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,068.73	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	45c	2,871$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,573.75	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	35c	2,858$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,871.68	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	34c	2,849$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,887.37	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	36c	2,838$1,027 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,810.71	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	10c	2,739$273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,466.58	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	1c	2,684$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,654.39	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	57c	2,500$1,431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,431.32	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	44c	2,421$1,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,363.65	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	13c	2,411$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,086.72	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked No	64c	2,378$1,516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.56	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Yes	33c	2,340$782 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,557.58	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…d9e5backed Yes	33c	2,268$742 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,525.88	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b19…ca35backed Yes	59c	2,244$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.33	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	60c	2,230$1,348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,348.32	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes	32c	2,223$713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.5	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	44c	2,151$945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,206.17	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeedb…59e5backed No	44c	2,140$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$935.86	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	57c	2,127$1,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$916.94	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3041…acf2backed Yes	10c	2,094$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,883.32	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	3c	2,094$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,030.3	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	2,072$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,022.48	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed No	8c	2,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.99	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	40c	2,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,199.84	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	43c	1,987$854 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.41	169	41.4%70 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked No	67c	1,961$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.13	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	40c	1,936$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,160.78	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee72…5d8dbacked Yes	48c	1,905$913 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$992.01	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x620d…9f02backed Yes	59c	1,854$1,098 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$755.81	58	24.1%14 W · 44 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	27c	1,843$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.57	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	33c	1,780$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.73	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	40c	1,715$682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,033.38	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	42c	1,700$707 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.23	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf29a…bcbdbacked Yes	7c	1,683$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,572.59	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	+113.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed No	47c	1,680$782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.73	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c3…38bcbacked Yes	60c	1,669$996 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$672.56	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	33c	1,600$533 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,066.4	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	69c	1,591$1,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,092.54	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf48…136dbacked Yes	41c	1,587$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$931.12	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	19c	1,583$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,279.35	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	60c	1,566$943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.36	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	61c	1,550$939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.51	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df9…462dbacked No	60c	1,521$916 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.49	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event