Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712f94c76cb071172033809329a169823db2fe0b3bf02843add78e17bba3ccbf

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $900,828
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $491,792

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $900,828 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	111,110$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.11	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	55,010$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.6	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	30,260$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.48	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	1c	21,825$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.33	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	0c	20,559$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.99	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	1c	18,215$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.06	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6aa…132abacked Yes	0c	18,013$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.11	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+57%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	1c	16,931$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.45	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb370…1e7fbacked Yes	0c	15,007$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.01	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	12,703$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.22	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Yes	2c	11,000$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.98	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	0c	10,806$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.1	328	1.2%4 W · 324 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	0c	10,614$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.76	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	1c	9,538$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.56	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc92e…2d75backed Yes	1c	9,413$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.65	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	1c	8,006$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	7,902$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.72	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5777…8d65backed Yes	1c	6,746$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…d9e5backed Yes	7c	6,670$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	5c	6,352$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	6,330$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	0c	6,296$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	3c	6,000$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.39	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	1c	6,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.81	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	1c	5,828$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.71	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	1c	5,464$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…9a02backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	19.3%11 W · 46 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3041…acf2backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	4,957$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.67	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	4,877$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.22	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	4,500$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.88	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes	1c	4,473$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.39	50	6%3 W · 47 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-39%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	5c	4,359$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.08	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e7…fbc9backed Yes	1c	4,221$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.87	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	1c	3,950$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	1c	3,525$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	1c	3,471$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.07	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes	1c	3,175$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	99	22.2%22 W · 77 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcade…db51backed Yes	1c	3,010$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.10per pick	7cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	1c	3,009$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	3,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	1c	2,928$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.06	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd26…7de1backed Yes	0c	2,728$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	1c	2,680$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebf6…a960backed Yes	1c	2,565$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	112	20.5%23 W · 89 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	2,543$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	2,500$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.71	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	1c	2,368$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	2,358$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.39	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	2,311$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.41	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	2,252$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.12	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	2,113$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes	1c	2,101$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.79	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	3c	1,951$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes	1c	1,883$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.31	103	25.2%26 W · 77 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes	1c	1,882$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.29	118	5.9%7 W · 111 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a4…d091backed Yes	1c	1,817$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.57	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+254.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	1,811$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1557…3e6cbacked Yes	1c	1,693$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	2c	1,684$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	1c	1,673$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50c3…a567backed Yes	1c	1,632$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5539…5cbebacked Yes	1c	1,600$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.4	137	13.1%18 W · 119 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	8cpaid	+68.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	1c	1,538$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes	1c	1,459$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	176	5.1%9 W · 167 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	-19%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b91…982dbacked Yes	1c	1,374$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.74	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.06per pick	4cpaid	+82.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4efc…dd07backed Yes	8c	1,283$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-40.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Yes	2c	1,269$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	89	15.7%14 W · 75 L	+5.3wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a86…9679backed Yes	1c	1,194$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes	1c	1,177$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.43	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4986…6996backed Yes	1c	1,156$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	141	24.1%34 W · 107 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8c…6ee2backed Yes	1c	1,127$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	1c	1,053$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	2c	1,031$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe43d…3978backed Yes	1c	1,027$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	200	25%50 W · 150 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	1c	1,026$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	3c	1,014$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes	1c	965.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.27	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	2c	894$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0472…fc04backed Yes	2c	885.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.58	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	4c	848$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.38	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc481…52eebacked Yes	4c	833.51$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.65	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94b7…24acbacked Yes	1c	810.02$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes	2c	790.65$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.86	36	50%18 W · 18 L	+5.3wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+73.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	2c	751.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	1c	750$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.04	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb7…91c4backed Yes	4c	749.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.95	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-45.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	671.97$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	2c	520.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	2c	499.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8063…ee82backed Yes	2c	478.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ac…c4a8backed Yes	4c	423.16$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.84	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f2a…e8a9backed Yes	3c	397.63$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	4c	227.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db6…7a21backed Yes	5c	215$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.32	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event