Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4245fa4925d9c7244d40c6dbdd7b55545ed4bd15f6659fbce48300b42d466fe6

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $882,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $710,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $882,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 706 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	31c	41,488$12,666 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,666.33	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	42c	27,700$11,625 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,625.49	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	13c	24,316$3,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,215.68	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	5c	20,453$1,124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,124.13	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed No	59c	16,311$9,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,751.97	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	7c	15,908$1,076 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.48	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	73c	13,109$9,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,577.65	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes	26c	10,982$2,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,905	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	68c	10,940$7,394 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,546.28	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	40c	10,300$4,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,100.04	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	27c	10,070$2,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,740.06	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	41c	8,824$3,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,593.17	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc92e…2d75backed Yes	19c	8,439$1,581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,580.52	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	29c	8,371$2,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,443.69	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	19c	8,009$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500.05	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe823…2a61backed Yes	25c	7,892$1,940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,940.43	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	23cpaid	+97.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	21c	7,430$1,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,562.05	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	43c	6,487$2,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,782.27	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	33c	6,123$2,036 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,036.04	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	34c	6,031$2,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,077.64	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes	37c	6,000$2,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,235	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	5,851$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.61	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	31c	5,814$1,797 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.27	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	29c	5,666$1,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,622.18	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	15c	5,496$833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$832.64	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	16c	5,343$872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$871.51	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	43c	5,101$2,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,215.89	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	3c	4,991$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.92	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	33c	4,568$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	33c	4,500$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.27	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	10c	4,261$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.43	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	61c	4,197$2,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,647.74	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e9c…9a07backed Yes	36c	4,079$1,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.96	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+2.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	14c	4,042$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	32c	4,000$1,295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,295.46	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	66c	3,807$2,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,287.61	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	40c	3,792$1,513 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,512.57	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	41c	3,716$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,517.64	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	30c	3,608$1,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,096.83	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	67c	3,195$2,152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.99	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Yes	24c	3,121$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.59	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	35c	3,115$1,077 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,076.6	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	35c	3,067$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,058.93	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	9c	3,000$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf993…cd9dbacked No	72c	2,975$2,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.24	48	50%24 W · 24 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…bc09backed Yes	30c	2,944$869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$869	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	50c	2,885$1,439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.11	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	46c	2,841$1,299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,298.58	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	3c	2,827$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.51	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	12c	2,809$327 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.33	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed No	72c	2,705$1,943 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.4	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	46c	2,700$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.31	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	15c	2,662$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.42	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	29c	2,541$740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$740.04	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	56c	2,500$1,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,402.52	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f3…e493backed Yes	56c	2,438$1,365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,365.28	97	26.8%26 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7368…fd66backed No	74c	2,425$1,792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.03	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	63cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	73c	2,421$1,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$660.66	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	75c	2,407$1,812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.69	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	24c	2,308$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.21	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	53c	2,290$1,206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.09	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b8…82b2backed Yes	45c	2,260$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.05	82	14.6%12 W · 70 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a31…f2f0backed No	56c	2,249$1,259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.6	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	44c	2,239$994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,245.56	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	38c	2,233$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$841.1	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	22c	2,176$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	21c	2,150$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.63	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	14c	2,102$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.52	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	73c	2,065$1,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.48	154	55.2%85 W · 69 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	10c	2,056$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.18	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b9…f10cbacked Yes	17c	1,947$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.66	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	22c	1,925$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.12	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c5…6f61backed Yes	46c	1,898$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$865	63	20.6%13 W · 50 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-40.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	24c	1,833$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.36	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	34c	1,827$623 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$622.63	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	28c	1,825$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	55c	1,812$995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$995	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	3c	1,790$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	42c	1,761$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.09	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b19…ca35backed Yes	37c	1,715$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.4	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	47c	1,686$799 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.37	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c27…2132backed No	53c	1,682$897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$785.22	64	57.8%37 W · 27 L	+6.7wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	8c	1,677$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.01	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	10c	1,584$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.61	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x549e…32a1backed No	69c	1,543$1,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$481.09	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	70cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12e6…d6cdbacked No	77c	1,534$1,181 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.36	52	42.3%22 W · 30 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	17c	1,520$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.18	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	18c	1,500$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.49	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	10c	1,500$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee72…5d8dbacked Yes	38c	1,490$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.39	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	1,464$1,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.31	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	33c	1,456$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.25	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	24c	1,450$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.2	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	25c	1,441$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf2…f130backed Yes	30c	1,421$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.4	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	33c	1,399$467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$466.6	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked No	72c	1,374$995 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.65	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	67c	1,363$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$455	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	9c	1,344$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.99	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event