Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa547e27597ac4a46b1b8d40abc3351097850c4b831fd0744f519de21686f2043

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,010,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $722,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,010,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 347 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	0c	97,000$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2379…178ebacked Yes	0c	30,435$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.62	58	27.6%16 W · 42 L	+4.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	0c	30,000$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	9c	22,281$1,927 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,926.99	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a5e…2a5cbacked Yes	0c	21,297$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.46	51	19.6%10 W · 41 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	2c	18,152$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.99	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	1c	12,888$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.31	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	2c	12,794$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.69	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	12,496$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.47	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed Yes	5c	11,746$626 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$626.24	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	9c	9,648$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860.21	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	4c	8,731$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.85	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	2c	8,443$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.76	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	2c	6,972$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.94	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	6,594$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.18	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc92e…2d75backed Yes	19c	6,567$1,274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,274.27	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-49.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	18c	6,566$1,212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,211.62	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	6,449$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	6,282$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.87	350	24%84 W · 266 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	6,234$607 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$607.48	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	16c	6,060$992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.3	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c6d…b432backed Yes	18c	6,024$1,109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,109.1	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	17c	6,000$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.15	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	10c	6,000$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.64	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	14c	5,940$840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.23	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	18c	5,599$1,005 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,004.57	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	14c	5,391$758 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$758.2	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	15c	5,118$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.72	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	2c	5,015$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.43	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	4,860$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.21	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	8c	4,778$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	4,601$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.35	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	11c	4,592$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.78	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	7c	4,508$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.96	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f7f…6450backed Yes	14c	4,430$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	232	17.7%41 W · 191 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3f…f75dbacked Yes	23c	4,381$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	12c	4,207$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$496.4	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	4c	4,005$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.03	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	5c	4,005$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.04	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	3,962$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.33	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf72…6378backed Yes	2c	3,810$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.93	19	5.3%1 W · 18 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7acd…1086backed Yes	1c	3,599$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.66	130	8.5%11 W · 119 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98dc…6ae4backed Yes	12c	3,533$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.6	42	16.7%7 W · 35 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+149.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2246…3ce3backed Yes	15c	3,420$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.21	121	18.2%22 W · 99 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa59c…bb62backed Yes	6c	3,069$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.32	174	19%33 W · 141 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc451…958cbacked Yes	8c	3,053$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.25	28	10.7%3 W · 25 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-63.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	2c	3,000$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	1c	3,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	2c	3,000$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	0c	3,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	13c	3,000$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$387.9	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	1c	3,000$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes	11c	2,945$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.31	303	10.9%33 W · 270 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf21…18debacked Yes	12c	2,802$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.22	173	24.3%42 W · 131 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	1c	2,586$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.84	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,543$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbe…c3f8backed Yes	16c	2,500$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	13cpaid	+103.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x068d…70d3backed Yes	1c	2,400$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e9e…7883backed Yes	7c	2,378$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.4	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed No	78c	2,377$1,853 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.06	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	2c	2,300$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.48	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	11c	2,255$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.89	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	18c	2,246$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	6c	2,242$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.41	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	2,239$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.81	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	12c	2,174$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.26	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes	8c	2,042$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.9	253	11.5%29 W · 224 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	14c	2,027$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.17	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	6c	2,003$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.04	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	2c	2,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	1c	2,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfb5…3f64backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	51	0%0 W · 51 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	20c	2,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Yes	10c	1,978$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.9	130	14.6%19 W · 111 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-50.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	11c	1,950$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66a1…c2f2backed Yes	18c	1,926$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.11	118	11%13 W · 105 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	14c	1,822$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.97	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	1,815$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.19	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bc…79d1backed Yes	7c	1,813$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.03	70	10%7 W · 63 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-48%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes	2c	1,796$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.22	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.3wins	+0.10per pick	31cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf60…c978backed Yes	3c	1,766$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	92	13%12 W · 80 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…5379backed Yes	21c	1,690$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-65.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	11c	1,668$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.13	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	9c	1,650$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.94	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	6c	1,545$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	1c	1,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc7…867bbacked Yes	2c	1,484$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	1,431$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.77	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Yes	3c	1,317$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	119	6.7%8 W · 111 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	9c	1,299$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.64	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	1,295$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.43	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	18c	1,286$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.42	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	10c	1,279$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.53	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024b…85cabacked Yes	13c	1,275$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	6c	1,268$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.04	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ee7…fb27backed Yes	16c	1,264$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa1…4f3dbacked Yes	1c	1,254$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	12c	1,236$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event