TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x024b…85ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
77
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Champions League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.93
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+623.2%+$224.66
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.36
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.77
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.86
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.16
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+267.7%+$427.54
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.39
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.35
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+208%+$165.28
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.59
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.03
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$69.66
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.36
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+145.7%+$455.25
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$94.12
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$98.79
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.76
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$31.99
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+141%+$20.06
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.7
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.88
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.71
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.17
Alex Baena: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
England vs. Croatia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.04
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$21.64
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.09
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.56
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$41.62
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.56
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$49.05
Will Spain vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+168.1%+$42.02
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$75.7
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.69
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+88%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+54.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Le Havre AC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$181.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aberdeen FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$30.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+54.6%+$16.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC vs. Atlanta United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.