Fifa International · resolved market
Deniz Undav: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99f269cbb7c1f7b7cbc5fd66646219c4b4dddd9fe667c3065266d312f036f1bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 77c | 5,028$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.45 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 38c | 5,000$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,882.27 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 70c | 3,994$2,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.43 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c9…4b9cbacked No | 64c | 3,015$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked No | 76c | 2,534$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.22 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 62c | 2,008$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.4 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Yes | 32c | 1,950$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.5 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b8…3f4ebacked No | 65c | 1,610$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.73 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf511…bfe4backed No | 73c | 1,602$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.56 | 145 | 79.3%115 W · 30 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5386…455cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,545$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…5e20backed Yes | 35c | 1,434$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3a…7ae9backed Yes | 40c | 1,258$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda20…cb8dbacked No | 62c | 1,177$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.41 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 27c | 1,108$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.16 | 361 | 23.5%85 W · 276 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 62c | 1,099$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.9 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 63c | 999.95$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.98 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…f666backed Yes | 23c | 878.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 30.5%29 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ed…e3bfbacked No | 65c | 669.94$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4753…41adbacked No | 72c | 600.13$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.92 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83c…e423backed Yes | 38c | 514.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.61 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…68b1backed Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 283 | 37.1%105 W · 178 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf58f…26f9backed Yes | 37c | 465.04$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.49 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9041…ddbabacked Yes | 25c | 435.48$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x158d…9c64backed Yes | 27c | 413.65$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.69 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 26c | 384.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 62c | 383.79$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.84 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37a0…8423backed Yes | 27c | 358.58$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 189 | 42.3%80 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 11c | 337$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb294…a9f4backed No | 66c | 300.05$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.02 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 17c | 271.39$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3f…98bebacked Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 64c | 269.96$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.84 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked No | 21c | 263.39$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.08 | 97 | 67%65 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 63c | 250$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.5 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde41…58bdbacked No | 62c | 250$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Yes | 13c | 231.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf96b…9c4cbacked Yes | 13c | 231.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…5f81backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 73c | 225.93$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 202.69$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…6f86backed No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…a388backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Yes | 25c | 191.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…0699backed Yes | 27c | 186.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2ea2backed Yes | 39c | 152.38$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…4f10backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x352c…940dbacked Yes | 35c | 144.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdac1…baddbacked No | 75c | 141.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 311 | 71.4%222 W · 89 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…9176backed No | 62c | 140$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 151 | 77.5%117 W · 34 L | +13.1wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…403cbacked Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…08a8backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 27.2%34 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x877b…4f25backed Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 67c | 133.59$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0769…c7ecbacked No | 63c | 133.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bf…5c1fbacked Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa071…6250backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda98…3b32backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c56…269fbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc977…56f1backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 108 | 23.1%25 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 22c | 102.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…544ebacked Yes | 35c | 100.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…9cf7backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 157 | 27.4%43 W · 114 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ae…1399backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -37%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5493…c6b9backed No | 80c | 96.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed Yes | 31c | 90.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…9024backed Yes | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdc…0e26backed Yes | 27c | 74.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da3…95a0backed No | 64c | 71.57$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e1aebacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d45…71a1backed No | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 53 | 67.9%36 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…b4edbacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba97…716bbacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 34c | 58.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…07f2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5d…946ebacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477e…23b3backed No | 66c | 52.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9382…a673backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024b…85cabacked Yes | 26c | 48.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed No | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…099fbacked No | 61c | 45.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…dc4bbacked Yes | 36c | 45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f2…3501backed No | 77c | 43.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Deniz Undav: 1+ goalsthis page
- Deniz Undav: 1+ shotsYes won
- Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsNo won
- Deniz Undav: 3+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enner Valencia: 3+ shotsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ assistsYes won
- Florian Wirtz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Florian Wirtz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ assistsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 1+ goalsNo won
- Jamal Musiala: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 1+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 2+ assistsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 2+ goalsNo won
- Kai Havertz: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ goalsYes won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ shotsYes won
- Leroy Sané: 1+ shots on targetYes won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ goalsNo won
- Leroy Sané: 2+ shotsYes won
- Maximilian Beier: 2+ assistsNo won
- Nick Woltemade: 2+ assistsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.