TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6e0…4f10

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT10642.5%45 W · 61 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$2,929Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,929.2
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.34
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$63.95
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,823Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,822.64
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.43
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Luis Díaz: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$40.63
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,008
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$3,946Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,946.3
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Ronaldo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+47.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.37
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.68
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.31
Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+139.1%+$67.1
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+181%+$86.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+132.8%+$197.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$327.26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$213.04
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$63.33
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Jetsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.