Music · resolved market
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9805dc4c454aca5de1d6f6e287d04a7744099eb7baeab596ceb09c3cee6bc9a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $321,223
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $310,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $321,223 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 470 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5db1…ef84backed Yes | 0c | 14,424$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab82…a0dcbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c28…9278backed Yes | 0c | 7,981$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Yes | 59c | 6,592$3,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,898.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…2e8cbacked Yes | 24c | 6,093$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,446.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc442…8d9cbacked Yes | 13c | 5,323$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked No | 57c | 5,289$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Yes | 14c | 5,221$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 0c | 5,084$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…bf45backed Yes | 43c | 3,793$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 44c | 3,756$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.81 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39e…1d88backed Yes | 48c | 3,288$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccaf…3363backed Yes | 15c | 3,128$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 62c | 3,113$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.26 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…bedabacked Yes | 44c | 2,905$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce04…163ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,741$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd42…a3fabacked Yes | 9c | 2,728$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Yes | 7c | 2,675$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 60c | 2,667$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 37c | 2,527$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.25 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed Yes | 62c | 2,461$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.67 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 79c | 2,211$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf3…b1babacked Yes | 59c | 2,182$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…07fbbacked Yes | 73c | 2,060$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 34c | 2,042$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.48 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…8d92backed No | 44c | 2,011$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dd…af8bbacked No | 59c | 1,935$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…4896backed No | 53c | 1,931$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b64…aa5cbacked Yes | 17c | 1,913$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked No | 57c | 1,810$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…a1e7backed No | 38c | 1,809$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +160.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 21c | 1,758$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…575fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,740$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…a7f4backed No | 38c | 1,455$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…35eabacked Yes | 17c | 1,426$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9871backed Yes | 15c | 1,415$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19f…6c6cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,350$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f82…076fbacked Yes | 59c | 1,344$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…6dcbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,340$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,328$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 60c | 1,283$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.31 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a3…8362backed Yes | 24c | 1,245$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x549c…ad91backed Yes | 37c | 1,212$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 29c | 1,185$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4576…c032backed Yes | 2c | 1,166$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 60c | 1,159$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.55 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ee…1391backed No | 47c | 1,144$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3c…f407backed Yes | 46c | 1,127$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…180dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,100$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 44c | 1,078$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.04 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 53c | 1,045$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e8…d240backed No | 16c | 1,035$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.49 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 53c | 1,032$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 33c | 1,025$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043f…d9e1backed Yes | 61c | 999.72$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 995.32$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.1 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…f389backed No | 25c | 985.18$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Yes | 72c | 981.1$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 77c | 980$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a1…2f95backed No | 13c | 971.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +680.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed No | 42c | 959.68$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4250…7c65backed Yes | 43c | 953.67$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 63c | 920$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Yes | 56c | 810.36$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed No | 80c | 808.27$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169a…55e4backed Yes | 47c | 785$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3727…0b44backed No | 75c | 774.04$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x506a…1b43backed Yes | 47c | 770$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 47c | 760$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked No | 74c | 754.46$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed No | 54c | 742.22$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x302a…74e6backed Yes | 71c | 730.21$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 14c | 711.08$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 23c | 701.75$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa092…11e3backed No | 49c | 700$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82fd…deb1backed Yes | 17c | 690$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe684…be27backed No | 15c | 663.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +560.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cbd…5864backed Yes | 60c | 663$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed No | 43c | 660.96$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb462…fc89backed Yes | 7c | 643.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…2c7dbacked No | 53c | 640.57$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 44c | 637.22$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.02 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed No | 34c | 617.42$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +192%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f2…eb95backed Yes | 52c | 605.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 35c | 602.49$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.19 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0592…70e7backed Yes | 34c | 599.42$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd109…6fa0backed No | 42c | 596.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 70c | 563.49$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…952abacked Yes | 58c | 551$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed No | 42c | 537$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Yes | 23c | 524.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…7861backed No | 42c | 518$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x638d…56ffbacked Yes | 65c | 516.39$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 67c | 514.96$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 58c | 504$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 26c | 500.53$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2a…13b0backed No | 40c | 500.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 74c | 500.04$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?this page
- Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?Yes won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?No won
- Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.