TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa07c…bbb0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.15
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.32
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$511.11
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$603.51
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$341.93
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.7
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Timberwolves backed Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$217.32
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,898.51
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$337.94
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.29
Pelicans vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$308.05
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.25
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.07
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.84
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$254.71
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,912Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+38.5%+$1,121.01
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+39.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.32
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$2,625
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.17
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.52
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.61
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+272.1%+$137.1
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$457.37
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$422Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$422
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.85
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.48
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.43
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Wright State Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.69
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Akron Zips · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.54
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.92
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.95
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Siena Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.01
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$969Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$969.11
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$345.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.44
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$547
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.2%+$556.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Epstein" by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+30.2%+$105.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Midland: Anna Frey vs Darja Vidmanovabacked Frey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$297.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$2,897Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$2,897.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.