WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc138662903d7672e1ca385c4fd40629bd3aabe8a1189253361c1ae31444c1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Under | 46c | 11,417$5,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.26 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Over | 47c | 3,269$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.8 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 3,062$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.78 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 2,307$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.8 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 58c | 2,036$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.54 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 1,388$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.19 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 1,380$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.86 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 1,353$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.58 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9d…d66abacked Over | 51c | 1,016$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Under | 66c | 828.79$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 53c | 550.24$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.31 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 504.79$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Under | 56c | 383.14$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.88 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 52c | 260.23$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 51c | 233.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 220.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.05 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 50c | 201.25$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.63 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 46c | 197.05$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.05 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Over | 54c | 185.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 50c | 179.4$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 167.93$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.89 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…644abacked Under | 69c | 134.41$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 41c | 124.92$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 44c | 111.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 67c | 109.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 51c | 97.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 50c | 84.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 54c | 81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed Under | 46c | 80.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Over | 52c | 77.64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 49c | 77.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Under | 67c | 74.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 48c | 74.55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 50c | 65.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 52c | 52.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 49c | 50.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 51c | 47.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 59c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 53c | 43.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…1a3cbacked Over | 57c | 38.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 47c | 32.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…0855backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 28.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Over | 56c | 27.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 52c | 20.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…1caabacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa894…2830backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle StormDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.