WNBA · resolved market
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb58948fd26c7117c0e1613ba86cfe0c0a0d29064647805cad31331c8bc612941
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 65c | 7,500$4,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.48 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 35c | 6,973$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.69 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 959.21$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.28 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 54c | 765.5$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.63 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Under | 48c | 704.32$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.68 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 51c | 343.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.23 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 130.56$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 105.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Over | 75c | 66.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 59c | 36.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 41c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde67…a253backed Under | 42c | 26.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8022…44c6backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 61c | 24.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle StormDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)Seattle Storm won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.