WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x242a830bece6b847ab3dc356748ffddb4ddada4ad58a2f07778bd8ea44211d57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Stormof Dallas Wings, Seattle Storm
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,833
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 4,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.25 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 3,279$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.47 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Storm | 53c | 1,455$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.49 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 1,289$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.42 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 460.51$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 397.74$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Dallas Wings | 10c | 364.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Dallas Wings | 46c | 308.18$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.76 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…69f9backed Seattle Storm | 54c | 307.41$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.41 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Seattle Storm | 45c | 299.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.99 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 268.19$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.65 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Seattle Storm | 53c | 265.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.62 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Dallas Wings | 61c | 262.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Dallas Wings | 23c | 246$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Dallas Wings | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Seattle Storm | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Dallas Wings | 45c | 199.8$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b8c…3771backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 199.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Storm | 52c | 182$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Seattle Storm | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed Dallas Wings | 48c | 160$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 156.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dallas Wings | 36c | 151.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Dallas Wings | 52c | 135$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Dallas Wings | 20c | 120$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Seattle Storm | 48c | 103.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.49 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Seattle Storm | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Seattle Storm | 50c | 80.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…4db8backed Dallas Wings | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dallas Wings | 39c | 57.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Dallas Wings | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafc5…2b1dbacked Seattle Storm | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Seattle Storm | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 36.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9409…5b36backed Seattle Storm | 51c | 34.65$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Dallas Wings | 46c | 34.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Seattle Storm | 54c | 33.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Dallas Wings | 38c | 29.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 64 | 1.6%1 W · 63 L | -26.1wins | -0.41per pick | 42cpaid | -97.6%equal weight | 17-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Dallas Wings | 45c | 26.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)this page
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle StormDallas Wings won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 166.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 169.5Over won
- Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.