TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1a01…1a3c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
455
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst CS2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT24246.7%113 W · 129 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 242 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+274.9%+$143.16
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.82
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$12.39
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.81
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Will Colombia reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$15.9
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.39
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.51
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
United States leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.14
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.34
England vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$56.28
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.62
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 Ecuador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$42.1
France vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.89
Showing 25 of 242 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT10143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 101 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.91
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.42
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$15.66
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.73
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.95
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.58
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.69
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.31
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.3
Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.32
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.4
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$16.93
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
New York Mets vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+41%+$24.5
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$303.79
Atlanta Braves vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.8
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Showing 25 of 101 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT8442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 84 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadanbacked Alan Magadan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Cordenons: Franco Agamenone vs Alex Barrenabacked Franco Agamenone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.21
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.23
Cary: Ozan Baris vs Juan Pablo Ficovichbacked Juan Pablo Ficovich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Jointbacked Serena Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
Cary: Jack Kennedy vs Kaichi Uchidabacked Kaichi Uchida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.01
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.29
Wimbledon WTA: Solana Sierra vs Anna Bondarbacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.94
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Itobacked Aoi Ito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmicbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderibacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.73
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norriebacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.19
Brasov: Harold Mayot vs Andrej Nedicbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$17.07
Brasov: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Franco Roncadellibacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Dammbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$17.08
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Mananchaya Sawangkaew · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+87%+$12.51
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovicsbacked Marton Fucsovics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14.36
ITF Maanshan: Meiqi Guo vs Evialina Laskevichbacked Meiqi Guo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.36
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.69
Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Gonzalo Villanuevabacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$400.2
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.86
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
ITF Galati: Giulia Safina Popa vs Anastasia Saftabacked Anastasia Safta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.24
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Soon-Woo Kwonbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.08
Showing 25 of 84 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-67.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-72.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will CF América win on 2026-07-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.