Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0da2d17e6a966439fdb10c3623972da50825e6dbec55bf43ce651fbb8952bca

Rebuilt 14 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $503,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $517,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,778 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	6c	51,926$3,231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,230.88	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked Yes	6c	35,850$2,315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,315.3	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	7c	16,428$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,214.16	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a9c…0ad0backed Yes	6c	16,250$943 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$942.5	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	7c	15,695$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x576f…ed2cbacked Yes	7c	13,200$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.6	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	7c	11,605$789 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.85	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…9613backed Yes	5c	9,930$544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$543.98	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f10…f544backed Yes	7c	7,674$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	5c	7,164$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.2	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd271…37e0backed Yes	8c	6,062$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.97	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	5c	4,963$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.95	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	7c	4,732$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.57	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	7c	4,049$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.72	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	7c	4,000$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.54	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	7c	3,934$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.93	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc040…beacbacked Yes	7c	3,685$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$267.67	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa962…8978backed Yes	9c	3,507$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes	7c	3,205$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.03	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x823b…a86fbacked Yes	7c	2,985$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	5c	2,974$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.99	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe992…6fc9backed Yes	6c	2,925$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.45	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes	7c	2,718$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.71	195	17.9%35 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	6c	2,575$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.27	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Yes	8c	2,461$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	40	42.5%17 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	5c	2,249$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.94	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	6c	2,176$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.75	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	5c	2,098$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.84	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb37a…f1b1backed Yes	6c	2,010$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.57	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+132.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	7c	2,010$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.3	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes	5c	2,000$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	454	45.4%206 W · 248 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…3595backed Yes	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Yes	7c	2,000$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c2e…d298backed Yes	7c	1,924$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.89	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	1c	1,724$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.24	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	1,588$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.75	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf59…1064backed Yes	6c	1,587$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,568$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.84	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	7c	1,534$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.57	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a43…42e7backed Yes	5c	1,480$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	7c	1,447$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	7c	1,403$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.93	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5172…c13abacked Yes	7c	1,399$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	4c	1,387$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Yes	7c	1,374$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes	7c	1,316$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.96	78	38.5%30 W · 48 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd5…1c55backed Yes	7c	1,281$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	1,200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	8c	1,079$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.16	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes	7c	1,033$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	82	20.7%17 W · 65 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	16cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes	7c	1,030$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.52	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked Yes	3c	1,000$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	144	22.2%32 W · 112 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes	6c	1,000$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	73	39.7%29 W · 44 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…9eeabacked Yes	5c	888$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.06	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	6c	857.59$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.02	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f8…569fbacked Yes	6c	800$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-81.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	5c	800$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Yes	6c	744.07$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.56	36	55.6%20 W · 16 L	+4.4wins	+0.12per pick	43cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99a7…d41cbacked Yes	5c	727.29$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.09	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x68d4…0a9cbacked Yes	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed Yes	7c	700$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	178	28.1%50 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29a3…9b79backed Yes	8c	671.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.37	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec90…bb74backed Yes	8c	631.62$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Yes	7c	627.96$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.34	63	33.3%21 W · 42 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe41…9f23backed Yes	6c	579.05$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.16	77	33.8%26 W · 51 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	6c	573.75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.72	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc77f…e251backed Yes	5c	510.28$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Yes	7c	475.65$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.91	202	50%101 W · 101 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	7c	470$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x517b…be02backed Yes	5c	462.96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	6c	445.1$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.73	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	6c	396.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9506…c548backed Yes	7c	391.58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.6	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	5c	375.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.98	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Yes	5c	370$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	136	41.2%56 W · 80 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9395…3a6cbacked Yes	5c	354.81$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.37per pick	38cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4435…786fbacked Yes	7c	352.46$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.88	128	47.7%61 W · 67 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2465…8905backed Yes	6c	351.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	6c	347.04$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89a0…1681backed Yes	6c	345$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x428f…5d1bbacked Yes	8c	333.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.33	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	39cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a01…1a3cbacked Yes	8c	330$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.02	242	46.7%113 W · 129 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	7c	321.44$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.12	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c2f…e27ebacked Yes	6c	317.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	16%4 W · 21 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a31…b2c2backed Yes	3c	313.57$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	5c	309.51$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x799a…78c1backed Yes	10c	305.01$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x319d…43a5backed Yes	8c	303.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af9…b4bbbacked Yes	6c	300$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.83	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc469…7993backed Yes	6c	299.38$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.46	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e7…449dbacked Yes	7c	299.1$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d15…240fbacked Yes	7c	296.66$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc92…27c9backed Yes	6c	296.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.37	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-4.5wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd639…667fbacked Yes	6c	276.8$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.06	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	+3.9wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	6c	263.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ace…f3dabacked Yes	7c	256.42$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.79	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62da…326dbacked Yes	6c	242.29$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.16	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes	7c	227.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	7c	213.85$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event