Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf61d3e40d7048b817257fe8348f5df9304233d57510ccba11434f45eb96093d7

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $135,175
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $133,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,175 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0121…f722backed Yes	0c	8,532$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.06	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	16c	4,358$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.14	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x874a…9d2ebacked Yes	19c	3,920$742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$742.3	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…af04backed Yes	16c	3,800$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.11per pick	27cpaid	-57.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	17c	3,616$613 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612.76	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	76c	3,341$2,529 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$811.66	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5777…3841backed Yes	17c	3,221$537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$537.3	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	18c	2,300$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Yes	16c	2,118$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.92	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	20c	2,077$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.5	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd4…a98cbacked Yes	26c	2,049$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	80c	1,870$1,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$382.76	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9045…2444backed Yes	17c	1,687$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.74	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd141…259dbacked Yes	17c	1,662$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.67	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked Yes	16c	1,536$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.72	165	40.6%67 W · 98 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,504$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	15c	1,440$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.99	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	18c	1,342$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.56	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…2e65backed Yes	17c	1,236$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+1.9wins	+0.07per pick	39cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	14c	1,128$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.31	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed Yes	19c	1,083$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.04	97	49.5%48 W · 49 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Yes	17c	999.98$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-4.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fd5…1216backed Yes	19c	863.16$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.7	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes	16c	842$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.3	476	48.5%231 W · 245 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x805a…0635backed Yes	14c	777$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.78	47	29.8%14 W · 33 L	+2.2wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd348…22c4backed Yes	15c	750$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.5	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+48.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb374…3de2backed Yes	15c	715.53$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed No	79c	713.57$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$149.85	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.3wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Yes	14c	709.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	16c	687.04$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.93	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	19c	670.01$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.5	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7a6…ee3bbacked Yes	15c	663.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	14c	631$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.77	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a7c…3016backed Yes	18c	601$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.18	130	11.5%15 W · 115 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c4…84bdbacked Yes	15c	600$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	18c	592$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.56	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e4…4d05backed Yes	15c	585.13$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab8…35b9backed Yes	20c	575$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d91…2109backed Yes	18c	556.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No	78c	542$422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.19	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Yes	15c	538.99$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	241	36.9%89 W · 152 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfac3…99ffbacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.37per pick	37cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf15…fccabacked Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	110	38.2%42 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0615…836fbacked Yes	27c	512.29$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-2.5wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes	14c	499.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	489	61.3%300 W · 189 L	+71.0wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+35.9%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xc616…a903backed Yes	19c	462.8$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes	22c	454$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.88	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71b3…fa9ebacked Yes	20c	442.1$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a4…6ebebacked Yes	23c	440.63$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…7521backed Yes	23c	435.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	54%27 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2444…fd85backed Yes	15c	433.27$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5222…f6e0backed Yes	14c	428.57$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	44.6%54 W · 67 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f7…87aebacked Yes	21c	417.67$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.61	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf6…50e2backed Yes	18c	400$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72	78	41%32 W · 46 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaed5…f666backed Yes	13c	384$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.13per pick	33cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92aa…8dc4backed Yes	19c	368.42$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-3.3wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	14c	364.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.66	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8320…e302backed Yes	19c	364$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.16	301	37.2%112 W · 189 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	13c	363.67$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.28	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9d…1e25backed Yes	17c	336.97$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79aa…c59dbacked Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+90.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed No	78c	324.32$254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.9	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…b1f9backed Yes	17c	291.66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24c1…f73ebacked Yes	20c	289.03$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.17	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c94…7ccdbacked Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa59e…16c3backed Yes	18c	273.03$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	21	23.8%5 W · 16 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	42cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	19c	264.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.35	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeab5…f570backed Yes	12c	258.77$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.95	49	16.3%8 W · 41 L	-10.9wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-74%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	79c	255.46$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.32	130	44.6%58 W · 72 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed Yes	19c	254.42$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.34	221	44.8%99 W · 122 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	18c	254.16$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	13c	252.86$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.86	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa6…16dbbacked Yes	20c	252.05$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.41	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	5c	250.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc37…fdf4backed No	77c	250$193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	62cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab8…8ecfbacked Yes	18c	249.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fd7…5861backed Yes	21c	238.1$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa943…d5f4backed Yes	21c	224.15$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	15c	223$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.55	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0177…01d6backed Yes	18c	220.39$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	78	32.1%25 W · 53 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb76…fc1fbacked Yes	18c	216.28$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd6d…88f3backed Yes	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.35per pick	55cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dbd…e263backed Yes	20c	210$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63c4…111bbacked Yes	18c	205.86$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b3…2ffebacked Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03f…249dbacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	176	32.4%57 W · 119 L	-8.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes	13c	200$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	172	49.4%85 W · 87 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa243…7656backed Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bbd…1959backed Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes	14c	186.52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.73	163	33.7%55 W · 108 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5035…cf0dbacked Yes	20c	174.6$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-8.5wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ebb…5ecabacked Yes	17c	171.93$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	45.5%30 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed Yes	15c	170.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	82	18.3%15 W · 67 L	-6.0wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x96a3…231bbacked Yes	20c	169.65$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3a…f5dbbacked Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc36f…05e4backed Yes	22c	166.18$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.56	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	33cpaid	-73.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	13c	158$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.83	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event