Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cb2ec02d56d1dfdac788428b40a0e6ffcc0476c02602b21db91688cf74516e6

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 6, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,195,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,244,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,195,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x04a5…28d6backed Yes	4c	140,154$6,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,010	73	34.2%25 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	9c	120,743$10,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,405.99	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	7c	43,372$2,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,901.12	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9c…0ad0backed Yes	6c	33,250$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,112.5	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2275…fb3cbacked Yes	7c	32,972$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,225.96	29	6.9%2 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	2cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	7c	29,663$1,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,971.14	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes	8c	21,273$1,802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,801.61	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5717…1648backed Yes	9c	21,256$1,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,863.06	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…d38fbacked Yes	6c	20,621$1,319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.31	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x52a8…c5edbacked Yes	11c	17,655$1,872 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,871.52	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.18per pick	38cpaid	-67.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Yes	11c	17,000$1,901 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.06	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8658…f20fbacked Yes	6c	16,060$964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$963.63	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x061e…5ab8backed Yes	10c	15,216$1,521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520.52	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…d246backed Yes	7c	15,129$1,008 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2617…eef3backed Yes	6c	12,345$778 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$777.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	9c	12,265$1,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,052.09	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0371…70c3backed Yes	6c	11,135$719 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$719.21	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3f6…f335backed Yes	10c	10,389$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-77.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0dd8…6d54backed Yes	7c	10,275$692 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	6c	8,402$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.81	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	10c	7,752$784 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$783.86	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3527…150fbacked Yes	8c	5,745$445 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	7c	5,599$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.3	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2888…0fe4backed Yes	9c	5,186$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443	52	36.5%19 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	10c	5,119$511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510.9	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf44a…cc0bbacked Yes	6c	4,870$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.48	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2080…36d2backed Yes	11c	4,400$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	7c	3,908$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.26	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	7c	3,879$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290.77	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…5eb0backed Yes	6c	3,784$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	10c	3,696$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.04	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Yes	10c	3,549$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x576f…ed2cbacked Yes	6c	3,300$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.9	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c4d…cd51backed Yes	7c	3,215$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Yes	7c	3,014$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.48	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82f7…4133backed Yes	7c	3,006$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13ad…6448backed Yes	6c	3,000$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa553…789dbacked Yes	7c	2,834$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.68	195	17.9%35 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	2,699$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.86	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	8c	2,383$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.9	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c0c…9189backed Yes	7c	2,277$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	8c	2,087$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.82	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8357…67d3backed Yes	6c	2,055$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…3595backed Yes	7c	2,000$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	75	26.7%20 W · 55 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	1,968$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.57	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd30…e0d4backed Yes	6c	1,902$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.11	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+4.8wins	+0.07per pick	23cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x232c…e6ffbacked Yes	7c	1,846$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6153…b29fbacked Yes	11c	1,729$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.83	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	6c	1,725$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf847…ee6abacked Yes	9c	1,692$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.5	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-77.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x156a…f084backed Yes	6c	1,623$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d18…8fa3backed Yes	6c	1,587$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc24…e16bbacked Yes	10c	1,565$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02d1…223bbacked Yes	6c	1,556$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ce…fd49backed Yes	7c	1,554$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	70	41.4%29 W · 41 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0863…6e80backed Yes	6c	1,492$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4f…e183backed Yes	7c	1,491$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea4…106ebacked Yes	8c	1,488$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123	174	36.2%63 W · 111 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x847d…e4dbbacked Yes	7c	1,471$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4733…e25bbacked Yes	7c	1,455$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	25cpaid	-73.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	8c	1,420$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.18	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	10c	1,400$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.8	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…f625backed Yes	6c	1,389$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	8c	1,365$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.19	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes	11c	1,307$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x625e…76e3backed Yes	5c	1,305$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.53	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd1…64e0backed Yes	10c	1,287$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cc…4526backed Yes	5c	1,285$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.45	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e2…59e6backed Yes	7c	1,283$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed Yes	7c	1,277$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.74	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa002…7fa8backed Yes	8c	1,228$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.46	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad99…dbabbacked Yes	8c	1,176$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.38	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa846…f93bbacked Yes	11c	1,176$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.74	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-34%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc204…b528backed Yes	8c	1,175$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.39	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	7c	1,115$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.23	457	36.3%166 W · 291 L	-13.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7baa…71d7backed Yes	9c	1,099$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes	6c	1,093$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.63	116	11.2%13 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-66.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8d8…bcc9backed Yes	11c	1,065$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-62.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59a8…eb4ebacked Yes	9c	1,053$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	169	46.7%79 W · 90 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb960…d289backed Yes	11c	1,030$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.24	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.9wins	-0.18per pick	43cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	7c	1,014$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.42	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	5c	1,000$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf748…c387backed Yes	6c	999.97$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.54	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	6c	943.99$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.64	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Yes	7c	933.68$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.83	426	40.1%171 W · 255 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…5645backed Yes	6c	914.63$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.08	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-3.7wins	-0.17per pick	40cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcab…3376backed Yes	11c	892.81$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.28	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-78.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Yes	7c	879$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.91	67	38.8%26 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	61c	877.11$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.56	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41c1…f3eebacked Yes	6c	838.61$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.14	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	7c	830.73$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.22	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c45…9620backed Yes	6c	812.13$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60c7…93d6backed Yes	6c	793.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…81fdbacked Yes	6c	788.62$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes	6c	779.98$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.68	149	20.8%31 W · 118 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2b1…12d7backed Yes	7c	778.64$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.17	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes	6c	776.49$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.79	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	9c	758.13$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.51	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b7…e9a3backed Yes	6c	752.94$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.36	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d51…e2cabacked Yes	7c	744.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event