Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x328583376667b725cc6848dc9b61b205579b1314ecdb4334ea245aec270d2c66

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,602,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,629,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,602,154 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf92a…80a7backed No	4c	76,581$3,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,305.58	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	38c	74,573$28,346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46,226.82	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked No	65c	54,329$35,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,102.33	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62de…5348backed Yes	36c	34,832$12,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,127.66	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+125%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	46c	32,235$14,942 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,292.71	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dd…aab9backed Yes	49c	30,090$14,855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,235.68	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	46cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	21c	29,859$6,323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,536.17	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Yes	40c	27,640$10,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,712.47	46	6.5%3 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.09per pick	16cpaid	-88.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x24db…50babacked Yes	44c	27,585$12,246 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,339.4	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.1wins	+0.10per pick	47cpaid	+7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes	40c	25,232$9,993 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,239.18	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66d5…9e9fbacked No	60c	25,042$14,905 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,904.56	37	48.6%18 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed No	60c	24,051$14,444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,444.37	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22d3…5e3abacked No	62c	23,009$14,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,164.37	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	61c	21,887$13,326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,326.25	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	75c	19,853$14,822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,822.33	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf245…e750backed Yes	40c	19,243$7,702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,541.03	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	60cpaid	+78.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…ef0ebacked No	57c	18,605$10,545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,545.04	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-3.7wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dfa…1ab9backed No	66c	17,545$11,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,500	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.66per pick	66cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	39c	17,484$6,881 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,602.22	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…fd4abacked No	64c	15,972$10,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,242.54	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	38c	15,512$5,912 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,600.48	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	39c	15,377$5,963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,414.26	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	68c	14,459$9,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,857.6	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed No	63c	13,750$8,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,662.47	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes	41c	13,123$5,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,697.11	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	61c	13,000$7,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,989.95	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a65…25adbacked No	54c	12,825$6,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,877.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.54per pick	54cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	62c	12,569$7,812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,812.13	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Yes	32c	12,449$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,449.12	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x232d…da84backed No	60c	11,575$6,929 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,929.41	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	76c	11,461$8,710 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,709.52	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	42c	11,453$4,780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,673.13	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ed…ee18backed Yes	47c	10,707$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,707.09	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd1…1eb0backed Yes	25c	10,372$2,559 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,813.53	44	25%11 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No	65c	10,282$6,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,679.74	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79b4…fc3dbacked No	68c	10,000$6,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.98	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes	19c	9,343$1,775 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,567.96	87	43.7%38 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…e272backed Yes	46c	9,206$4,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,981.43	91	61.5%56 W · 35 L	+9.0wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No	60c	9,173$5,503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,503.48	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	59c	8,888$5,219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,218.97	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0477…db06backed Yes	32c	8,754$2,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,955.05	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	34cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x250e…e864backed No	60c	8,700$5,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,217.28	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	37c	8,577$3,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,420.3	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed No	54c	8,348$4,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,511.07	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b8…e82abacked No	60c	8,202$4,907 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,906.72	57	47.4%27 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked No	62c	8,130$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.97	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes	38c	8,102$3,057 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,045.73	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Yes	40c	8,008$3,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,837.79	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd684…f320backed No	63c	7,815$4,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,901.55	60	45%27 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	54c	7,747$4,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,215.9	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	36c	7,746$2,763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,982.93	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	61c	7,547$4,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,626.92	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	37c	7,413$2,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,661.72	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	61c	7,319$4,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,453.8	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No	60c	7,115$4,256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,255.91	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No	64c	7,030$4,470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,470.4	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c35…0f9fbacked Yes	42c	6,984$2,911 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,073.03	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.19per pick	31cpaid	+20%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	36c	6,901$2,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,439.37	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	45c	6,515$2,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,562.84	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked No	64c	6,000$3,840 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,840	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	38c	5,976$2,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,691.55	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	31c	5,696$1,749 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,947.07	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4014…27bfbacked Yes	37c	5,436$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,435.77	84	44%37 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dd7…28d2backed No	62c	5,400$3,330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,329.96	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes	45c	5,311$2,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,925.31	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No	59c	5,000$2,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,949.93	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes	36c	4,996$1,783 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,213.23	152	61.2%93 W · 59 L	+7.4wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No	62c	4,889$3,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,019.97	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed No	67c	4,802$3,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,199.82	15	60%9 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2277…6604backed Yes	37c	4,759$1,762 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,997.68	186	41.9%78 W · 108 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked Yes	45c	4,722$2,125 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,597.16	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11a7…2c03backed No	65c	4,709$3,078 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,078.46	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d78…4cc1backed Yes	43c	4,660$2,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,651.54	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked No	61c	4,643$2,828 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,827.93	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	-3.4wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…9613backed Yes	41c	4,558$1,866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,691.67	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	27cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	73c	4,472$3,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,268.16	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa479…9732backed Yes	36c	4,199$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,699.18	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+63.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b2a…613abacked Yes	41c	4,143$1,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,459.18	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.9wins	+0.38per pick	42cpaid	+208.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	39c	4,124$1,608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,515.45	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ebe…cef9backed Yes	41c	4,104$1,693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,410.88	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	62c	4,056$2,511 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,510.62	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes	39c	4,028$1,556 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,472.24	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	23c	4,000$919 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,081.4	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf797…0bf2backed No	58c	4,000$2,336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,336	125	34.4%43 W · 82 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes	18c	4,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,279.99	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4ee…cc59backed Yes	39c	3,900$1,535 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,364.67	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No	53c	3,900$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,071.83	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d1…308fbacked No	57c	3,871$2,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,203.02	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…f876backed Yes	36c	3,745$1,348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,397.04	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	20cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	31c	3,716$1,148 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,567.82	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	64c	3,716$2,394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,394	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x17a7…2925backed No	56c	3,600$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,011.79	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4dc…338abacked No	54c	3,400$1,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,824.62	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	56cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa962…8978backed Yes	37c	3,283$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,083.47	46	34.8%16 W · 30 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	60c	3,155$1,902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,901.91	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes	40c	3,092$1,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,841.44	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	45c	3,092$1,378 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,713.57	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	61c	3,084$1,869 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,868.55	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	60c	3,012$1,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,793.51	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	53c	3,007$1,588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,588.41	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event