Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bf419aa66753cd95324dfe102ad2d0d5bdb0205cf52735a389134b78f2b2139

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,101,009
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,114,304

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,101,009 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 804 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa974…ef79backed No	78c	63,270$49,351 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,919.42	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes	18c	58,220$10,453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,453.29	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+3.3wins	+0.37per pick	30cpaid	+95.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Yes	22c	51,198$11,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,263.57	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+5.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes	49c	47,971$23,559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23,558.67	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No	78c	38,740$30,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,368.97	293	33.8%99 W · 194 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…80a7backed No	60c	37,782$22,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,960.59	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes	0c	37,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes	0c	37,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes	0c	37,500$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed No	77c	37,231$28,567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,663.49	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	54c	36,393$19,782 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,782.04	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes	20c	30,502$6,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,019.56	264	47.7%126 W · 138 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…f1d4backed No	55c	27,156$14,986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,170.26	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cc8…ddc2backed Yes	38c	25,403$9,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,666.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1324…8e3cbacked Yes	55c	25,232$13,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,877.6	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe94…8a3dbacked No	45c	20,000$9,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,999.87	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	46c	19,999$9,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,799.71	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	78c	16,569$12,847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,721.6	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed No	80c	15,639$12,471 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,168	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd914…0d9abacked No	62c	13,978$8,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,311.7	80	28.8%23 W · 57 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes	51c	13,918$7,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,144.16	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	42c	13,532$5,705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,704.67	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No	49c	13,481$6,548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,933.11	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb723…0065backed Yes	54c	11,483$6,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,200.77	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No	46c	10,737$4,939 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,797.98	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Yes	22c	10,002$2,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,190.15	42	50%21 W · 21 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes	47c	9,336$4,433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,432.5	236	44.9%106 W · 130 L	+11.7wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b8c…1556backed Yes	53c	9,272$4,915 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,914.97	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed No	46c	9,000$4,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,829.94	240	58.8%141 W · 99 L	+19.8wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	64c	8,622$5,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,103.17	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	52c	8,137$4,234 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,903.09	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…c933backed Yes	55c	8,000$4,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,399.99	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed No	56c	8,000$4,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,519.95	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	2c	7,900$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.32	80	3.8%3 W · 77 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No	75c	7,304$5,509 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,795.08	61	37.7%23 W · 38 L	-9.1wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed Yes	46c	7,014$3,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,196.2	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed No	61c	6,156$3,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,400.68	51	47.1%24 W · 27 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No	60c	6,030$3,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,403.8	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	18c	6,029$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.22	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a3…2a0dbacked Yes	26c	5,759$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Yes	37c	5,700$2,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,095.99	399	51.6%206 W · 193 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3734…57edbacked Yes	55c	5,509$3,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,030	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	79c	5,144$4,067 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.45	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	65c	5,089$3,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,792.19	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	57c	5,047$2,895 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,151.8	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc88…b8d8backed Yes	55c	4,701$2,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,565.5	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	27c	4,611$1,242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,242.09	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No	63c	4,443$2,795 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,648.44	253	52.6%133 W · 120 L	+12.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…8961backed Yes	54c	4,432$2,393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,393.28	36	52.8%19 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf78…d0a9backed No	46c	4,348$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,347.83	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.26per pick	24cpaid	+136.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc03…d5c0backed Yes	55c	4,255$2,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,340.16	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	37c	4,247$1,570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,570.23	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed No	62c	4,211$2,611 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,600.15	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae0b…5b5fbacked Yes	24c	4,118$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Yes	37c	4,041$1,510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,510.02	431	45.2%195 W · 236 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	61c	4,000$2,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.96	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes	54c	3,920$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,116.78	534	48.5%259 W · 275 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x07bc…b413backed Yes	47c	3,918$1,852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,851.69	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+2.5wins	+0.18per pick	61cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9e…6838backed Yes	54c	3,695$1,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,985.56	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa82e…6884backed No	64c	3,494$2,227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,266.86	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	69c	3,460$2,370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.54	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	52c	3,375$1,755 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.87	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x874a…9d2ebacked Yes	23c	3,250$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.5	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcafd…cde6backed Yes	24c	3,004$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.14	66	50%33 W · 33 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked No	49c	3,000$1,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,530	64	54.7%35 W · 29 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes	54c	3,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…bd86backed No	46c	2,973$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,605.58	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-45%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked Yes	36c	2,964$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.9	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	64c	2,947$1,897 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,050.03	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fff…28bebacked Yes	17c	2,892$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.76	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes	19c	2,780$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.77	209	55.5%116 W · 93 L	+12.8wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No	45c	2,758$1,241 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,516.94	148	60.1%89 W · 59 L	+6.8wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd6…795abacked Yes	39c	2,692$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a31…1164backed No	63c	2,678$1,688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$990.52	186	36.6%68 W · 118 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-35%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Yes	38c	2,631$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	173	45.1%78 W · 95 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1520…378fbacked Yes	53c	2,600$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9135…fd1fbacked Yes	23c	2,586$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.2	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes	56c	2,586$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,455.63	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3814…17bcbacked Yes	39c	2,564$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	61c	2,500$1,525 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$975	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	22c	2,484$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.99	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe611…c90bbacked Yes	54c	2,440$1,325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,325.11	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	71c	2,407$1,713 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$693.31	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	8c	2,235$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.7	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed No	74c	2,227$1,644 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.51	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…8dc7backed Yes	35c	2,209$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$781.33	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8309…62b1backed No	46c	2,174$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173.91	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x934a…a684backed Yes	55c	2,169$1,193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,193.02	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No	76c	2,166$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$519.86	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88d9…1d15backed No	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.66	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-64.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked No	64c	2,084$1,330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.2	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+95.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51f0…186cbacked Yes	24c	2,083$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No	66c	2,082$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.07	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d9…ecf3backed Yes	55c	2,063$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,134.62	66	37.9%25 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef94…f8c4backed Yes	20c	2,057$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.58	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	61c	2,050$1,257 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792.48	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes	22c	2,044$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.78	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…1c65backed Yes	54c	2,024$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	45	51.1%23 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes	47c	2,012$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$946.28	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+17.8wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event