Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275d4fd1c7422fedb53dff0a97bf422a0255d289e527105cdef3357b83f64e29

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $244,789
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $268,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,789 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x576f…ed2cbacked Yes	5c	22,800$1,133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.45	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Yes	10c	20,398$2,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,004.14	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9a…9093backed Yes	0c	14,508$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.51	22	63.6%14 W · 8 L	+3.9wins	+0.18per pick	46cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb55e…735bbacked Yes	10c	7,770$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-70.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Yes	6c	6,673$427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.04	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	36cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4316…a632backed Yes	26c	5,848$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	21cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed Yes	10c	5,456$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.09	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78e…4718backed Yes	10c	5,000$523 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$523.5	187	39%73 W · 114 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	6c	3,574$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.2	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d6…c210backed Yes	6c	2,698$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f3…fe93backed Yes	5c	2,363$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	10c	2,285$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.71	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes	8c	2,146$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.66	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	12c	2,125$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.11	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes	11c	1,551$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.58	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	60c	1,527$916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.52	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc7e…b661backed Yes	7c	1,306$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	73c	1,200$871 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$329	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	7c	1,200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.82	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Yes	9c	1,115$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	479	35.1%168 W · 311 L	+4.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022a…df5ebacked Yes	9c	1,114$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf4e…dceebacked Yes	12c	1,039$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.77	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes	5c	996$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.21	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed Yes	6c	990.12$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.72	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe25a…efdebacked Yes	11c	927.13$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x094a…1274backed Yes	11c	919.18$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e5…dc32backed Yes	11c	872.55$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.76	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	6c	809.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.22	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	800$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09d1…f26fbacked Yes	6c	793.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	18cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Yes	6c	788.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	118	28.8%34 W · 84 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	7c	781$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.51	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16db…3542backed Yes	13c	780.36$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	44cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x76d2…99a6backed Yes	14c	691.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	72	26.4%19 W · 53 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d4…0a9cbacked Yes	7c	689.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes	5c	599.14$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.31	269	40.9%110 W · 159 L	+7.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	9c	595.93$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.61	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	10c	556.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.24	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8262…eddebacked Yes	10c	500$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	27	37%10 W · 17 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x331c…974ebacked Yes	10c	490.2$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37a4…c92cbacked Yes	14c	465$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a51…05adbacked Yes	11c	460.48$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	63	65.1%41 W · 22 L	+6.9wins	+0.11per pick	54cpaid	+18%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	11c	442.87$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	295	29.8%88 W · 207 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0c…92c1backed Yes	6c	433.24$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab8…8ecfbacked Yes	11c	399.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.3	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	10c	381$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.15	302	41.4%125 W · 177 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	9c	375.3$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.34	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71c6…0058backed Yes	5c	370.38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	10c	356.02$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.09	194	45.4%88 W · 106 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	10c	311.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.86	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes	10c	304.66$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.37	363	50.1%182 W · 181 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	10c	274.55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.42	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xac40…a961backed Yes	10c	265.59$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.09	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a31…b2c2backed Yes	6c	248.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+7.2wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	11c	232.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.53	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d2…6f36backed Yes	11c	231.94$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes	7c	214.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.33	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7a2…8c4fbacked Yes	12c	211.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	25cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x607d…d2f4backed Yes	13c	192.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	57	54.4%31 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes	11c	185.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes	6c	170.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-6.1wins	-0.12per pick	34cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes	10c	162.37$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	370	57.3%212 W · 158 L	+13.9wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d16…2154backed Yes	9c	158.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7bab…8322backed Yes	12c	149.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	53	32.1%17 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37f0…b292backed Yes	13c	149.74$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+55.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	10c	145$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.12	222	43.7%97 W · 125 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes	9c	137.64$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.58	51	25.5%13 W · 38 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7b…b568backed Yes	19c	121.32$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.75	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	11c	120$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.82	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e6e…4202backed Yes	12c	110.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+31%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf0…4825backed Yes	11c	108.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.1wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadc5…6aa4backed Yes	11c	103.24$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	114	12.3%14 W · 100 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x817a…0a90backed Yes	10c	102.82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	298	46%137 W · 161 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…48e4backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	101	48.5%49 W · 52 L	+8.1wins	+0.08per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x549b…6b5cbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93f9…8688backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.9	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	57c	96.75$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.51	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8719…7213backed Yes	19c	58.4$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event