TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7bab…8322

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst World Politics at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6426.6%17 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.03
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+360.6%+$110.23
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.52
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.67
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.66
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.69
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+320.1%+$263.75
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+94.8%+$146
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$1,325.02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.93
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$138
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$154
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+412.8%+$322
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.57
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5332.1%17 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.5
Will Pau Cubarsí win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+198%+$78.04
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+2,061.1%+$390.7
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+197%+$199
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$82.76
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will 8+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Will Colombia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$39.6
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Will Christian Pulisic score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT3020%6 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-54.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$26.5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+178.5%+$72.23
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.1
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.78
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.99
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.4
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+114.8%+$229.79
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$151.98
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.94
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$138
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.24
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$33.36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.54
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.18
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+97.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-63.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+192.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$486.49
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+195.2%+$65.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+221.1%+$192.38
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+151.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$34.79
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$49.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.