Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d1492e3986f791935633c953118998ac0b3e3738bdff60120fa119c6edc4385

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,081,293
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,840,411

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,081,293 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 471 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	1c	584,657$8,712 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,712.37	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	4c	54,336$2,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,355.76	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	4c	43,625$1,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,532.05	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	15c	31,506$4,863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,863.07	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	14c	24,941$3,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,401.34	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Yes	7c	23,498$1,604 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.6	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	2c	17,392$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.82	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed No	67c	16,982$11,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,644.09	311	52.7%164 W · 147 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	41c	15,909$6,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,461.4	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	11c	14,599$1,544 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,543.57	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	19c	14,276$2,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,742.25	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…719bbacked Yes	20c	14,273$2,787 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,786.78	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	1c	10,566$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.7	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	10,492$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.37	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	14c	10,220$1,422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,421.99	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa561…f676backed Yes	1c	10,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	66	18.2%12 W · 54 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83dd…06d2backed Yes	1c	9,641$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.92	146	35.6%52 W · 94 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	3c	8,966$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.24	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…9b43backed Yes	2c	8,949$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.63	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d78…6929backed Yes	6c	8,837$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	3c	8,638$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.94	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes	1c	8,448$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.34	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+883%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	1c	8,078$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.94	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	77c	7,508$5,750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,758.25	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	6,046$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.52	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	59c	5,792$3,414 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,377.64	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes	1c	5,629$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.56	73	5.5%4 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+212.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Yes	2c	5,598$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	41cpaid	+40.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54e2…5009backed Yes	36c	5,000$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.26per pick	55cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f10…012abacked Yes	1c	4,965$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	4,468$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.9	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	4c	4,295$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.57	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes	2c	4,137$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.94	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e85…1f81backed Yes	2c	4,000$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.1	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+3.3wins	+0.15per pick	17cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd566…835abacked Yes	3c	3,792$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	58c	3,612$2,099 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,512.89	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec7…9a5cbacked Yes	2c	3,546$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.87	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…cc0ebacked Yes	3c	3,532$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	5c	3,529$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.41	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes	3c	3,490$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.22	80	6.3%5 W · 75 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53c4…740bbacked No	78c	3,421$2,674 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.88	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	38cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes	37c	3,406$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.72	63	31.7%20 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes	4c	3,400$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.86	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	41c	3,300$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,354	550	44.7%246 W · 304 L	-27.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ca…0e48backed Yes	3c	3,279$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.76	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2825…c0e3backed Yes	13c	3,236$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4382…7011backed Yes	1c	3,210$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.56	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	4cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d2d…2be7backed Yes	5c	3,165$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.58	43	51.2%22 W · 21 L	+5.0wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+42.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	8c	3,147$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.09	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes	25c	3,061$755 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$755.23	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes	41c	3,012$1,235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,235.1	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No	79c	3,011$2,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$622.7	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2106…4deabacked No	56c	2,941$1,653 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,288.82	188	43.6%82 W · 106 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63b5…d5a4backed Yes	2c	2,869$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.09	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Yes	4c	2,839$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.56	113	29.2%33 W · 80 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…0e4ebacked Yes	2c	2,660$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	64c	2,632$1,681 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$951.11	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73f4…a24bbacked Yes	43c	2,629$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,130.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	2,502$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	609	8.4%51 W · 558 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e90…db89backed Yes	4c	2,495$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.95	55	12.7%7 W · 48 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes	4c	2,460$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.24	78	5.1%4 W · 74 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No	62c	2,397$1,486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$911.01	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	1c	2,394$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.95	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	1cpaid	+1,149.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Yes	35c	2,364$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.83	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-1.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ce…ed1abacked Yes	1c	2,355$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ba…f96ebacked Yes	41c	2,295$941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940.9	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x562b…dc09backed No	62c	2,256$1,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860.34	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b14…3e42backed Yes	16c	2,248$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.51	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes	2c	2,230$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.9	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes	2c	2,143$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	220	26.4%58 W · 162 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	4c	2,003$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.47	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Yes	35c	2,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes	1c	1,871$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	54	1.9%1 W · 53 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-88%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad58…7624backed No	61c	1,839$1,126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.37	90	43.3%39 W · 51 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…d0dbbacked No	55c	1,810$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.98	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes	11c	1,800$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	79c	1,790$1,413 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$377.16	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…d8d6backed Yes	1c	1,750$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	93	19.4%18 W · 75 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15a…25f6backed Yes	2c	1,682$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72f7…92f7backed No	60c	1,674$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$669.67	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,653$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.17	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a26…9b20backed Yes	1c	1,581$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.16	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked Yes	6c	1,544$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.91	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes	3c	1,540$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.24	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Yes	17c	1,540$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.28	260	37.3%97 W · 163 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa39e…02bcbacked Yes	38c	1,479$555 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	36cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes	2c	1,439$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.17	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c49…793bbacked Yes	3c	1,435$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	10c	1,435$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.67	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x846a…63f7backed Yes	3c	1,402$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.36	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	15cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa220…4c66backed Yes	2c	1,387$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.48	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+394.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b69…4350backed Yes	2c	1,380$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes	5c	1,359$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa881…50ccbacked Yes	2c	1,358$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No	66c	1,356$899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$456.77	113	38.9%44 W · 69 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Yes	27c	1,353$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$369.01	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	78c	1,352$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.08	101	64.4%65 W · 36 L	+7.1wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Yes	15c	1,300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes	2c	1,298$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.23	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	41c	1,290$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$528.83	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event