TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Vinícius Jr. win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,780

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,543 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes2c20,100$442 inLost-$442.26719.4%13 W · 54 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick16cpaid+63.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5452…d448backed Yes6c2,838$172 inLost-$172.0346464.9%301 W · 163 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc349…82d7backed Yes2c2,096$48 inLost-$47.871323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-48.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a5…b594backed Yes3c2,000$50 inLost-$5018538.9%72 W · 113 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c1,505$68 inLost-$67.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c27…1555backed Yes6c1,336$81 inLost-$81.154746.8%22 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb232…8f77backed Yes2c1,297$27 inLost-$27.2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes2c1,233$20 inLost-$20.286098.4%51 W · 558 L+0.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c1,094$28 inLost-$28.457799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6d…9ca1backed Yes5c1,030$51 inLost-$51195.3%1 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-81.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeca7…9567backed Yes4c947.07$40 inLost-$407844.9%35 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes3c691.94$19 inLost-$18.662021.5%3 W · 199 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes3c584.28$16 inLost-$15.96563.6%2 W · 54 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+93.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27cc…3b96backed Yes6c544.61$32 inLost-$32633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes4c500$20 inLost-$202,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb8…258bbacked Yes6c416.98$25 inLost-$253821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Yes4c398.81$15 inLost-$152429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-26.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf209…3f87backed Yes4c339.68$13 inLost-$13812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-75.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes4c289.58$12 inLost-$11.552937.5%22 W · 271 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick12cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes10c210.39$20 inLost-$2060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…2d1ebacked Yes8c169.06$13 inLost-$133435.3%12 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.