Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb42fa5db3fbf2cd48892e4487dfae7a155a904542de25fd291840295d4b2ab57

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $883,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $699,685

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $883,919 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	0c	199,215$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.73	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	0c	92,199$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.37	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	0c	39,781$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.45	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	21c	24,899$5,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,216.61	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Yes	0c	20,995$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.98	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.3wins	+0.12per pick	6cpaid	+883%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83dd…06d2backed Yes	0c	15,600$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	146	35.6%52 W · 94 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes	0c	14,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	0c	13,436$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.44	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4382…7011backed Yes	0c	12,970$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	4cpaid	+138.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	1c	12,012$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.99	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55fd…2c99backed Yes	12c	11,501$1,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes	8c	7,196$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.96	71	31%22 W · 49 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	0c	7,120$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	1cpaid	+1,149.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54fb…e7f3backed Yes	0c	7,060$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	105	33.3%35 W · 70 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes	5c	5,722$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.44	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Yes	0c	5,100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	63	49.2%31 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes	8c	4,914$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.86	287	31%89 W · 198 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes	20c	3,665$744 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$743.5	39	38.5%15 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x000c…bcf3backed Yes	2c	3,319$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.6	299	16.7%50 W · 249 L	-6.3wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ba…f96ebacked Yes	30c	3,180$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$961.38	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ab…ff89backed Yes	8c	3,116$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	93	34.4%32 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked Yes	1c	3,058$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.24	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	20c	2,785$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.62	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,711$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.93	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01fc…6972backed Yes	2c	2,656$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	2,467$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	29c	2,281$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.5	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	7c	2,212$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.88	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked Yes	1c	2,174$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Yes	11c	1,936$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.56	129	27.1%35 W · 94 L	+7.9wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes	6c	1,867$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.49	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	19c	1,816$342 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$342.43	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00c8…b05ebacked Yes	3c	1,693$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.21	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	16c	1,636$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.23	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	29c	1,576$454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.88	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	14c	1,503$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.88	427	37.2%159 W · 268 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4948…08bdbacked Yes	4c	1,493$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.91	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes	5c	1,469$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.59	120	25%30 W · 90 L	-5.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes	27c	1,412$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.52	132	40.2%53 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes	4c	1,394$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.09	120	38.3%46 W · 74 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	32cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes	17c	1,283$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.86	198	18.7%37 W · 161 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	24c	1,226$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed Yes	17c	1,111$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.09	67	16.4%11 W · 56 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes	23c	1,101$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.9	159	30.2%48 W · 111 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfaf…5dcfbacked Yes	3c	1,044$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	16c	1,001$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.04	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes	3c	999.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcbb0…bd65backed No	76c	922.53$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.65	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	11c	841.62$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.6	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	6c	780.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes	5c	753$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.64	157	42%66 W · 91 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes	12c	751.75$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.94	215	17.2%37 W · 178 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed No	70c	744$518 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$226.14	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	8c	704.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.51	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8784…f1aebacked Yes	4c	667.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	74	44.6%33 W · 41 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7828…e558backed No	72c	658.58$475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$183.09	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	25c	649.03$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.93	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf934…8858backed Yes	6c	647.31$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.52	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5595…12a8backed Yes	18c	639.09$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes	17c	603.47$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.99	81	61.7%50 W · 31 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a48…e094backed Yes	28c	600$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.8	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9458…65a4backed Yes	22c	595.78$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.26	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e08…e99bbacked Yes	17c	587.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	138	55.1%76 W · 62 L	+6.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2956…d31bbacked Yes	7c	581.1$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.68	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d00…0121backed No	71c	570.05$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.69	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8959…6dedbacked Yes	2c	554.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb94c…3c05backed Yes	4c	536.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	40%20 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes	20c	536.51$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.28	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	20c	515$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.08	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d68…1258backed Yes	20c	505.85$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x049a…b22abacked Yes	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.57	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fba…92e7backed Yes	4c	496.88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.8	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	14c	496.56$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.36	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe103…4aafbacked Yes	10c	486.39$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes	6c	469.84$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	43	14%6 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+41%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	4c	419.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.68	293	7.5%22 W · 271 L	-13.2wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x45f5…6fffbacked Yes	20c	409.9$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Yes	29c	400$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.2	228	25.4%58 W · 170 L	-13.0wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Yes	37c	360.93$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.94	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c41…42ebbacked Yes	34c	357$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.95	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+3.6wins	+0.21per pick	32cpaid	+202.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed Yes	21c	320.92$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.69	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Yes	16c	316.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	34.3%34 W · 65 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	29c	301$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.29	269	49.1%132 W · 137 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed Yes	29c	300$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	131	48.9%64 W · 67 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835b…118fbacked Yes	29c	300$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.9	122	35.2%43 W · 79 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eaa…80dbbacked Yes	18c	271.7$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x977b…10d9backed Yes	4c	266.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ab…ecadbacked Yes	16c	256.41$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e38…e544backed Yes	19c	256.14$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.63	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No	69c	239.44$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.75	118	34.7%41 W · 77 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a66…b8d3backed Yes	9c	237.49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	39	20.5%8 W · 31 L	-3.8wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes	22c	218.76$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.61	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d3…0698backed Yes	18c	200$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf524…8178backed No	80c	200$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.2	126	6.3%8 W · 118 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes	27c	182.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.14	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14d5…8ba8backed Yes	16c	180$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.9	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+15.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b3…77d6backed Yes	6c	171$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	25	0%0 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xffc2…74d6backed Yes	18c	168.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	77	37.7%29 W · 48 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes	7c	160$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.92	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd449…450fbacked No	78c	158.31$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.61	127	44.9%57 W · 70 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event