Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb52949f46287af881c0f8de3aaff74c2e145bc715152fab555edd5beacf66d29

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,775,914
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,544,842

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,775,914 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9449…d829backed Yes	2c	1,059,220$22,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22,033.21	67	19.4%13 W · 54 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+63.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…dcdebacked Yes	1c	37,572$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.96	73	5.5%4 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	1cpaid	+212.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	2c	32,888$726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.56	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	2c	29,152$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.2	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	1c	21,356$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.49	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	+3.4wins	+0.12per pick	5cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…2995backed Yes	3c	20,751$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.03	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.12per pick	13cpaid	+351.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	2c	19,808$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.19	792	31.1%246 W · 546 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes	3c	18,742$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.99	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes	2c	18,481$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	159	30.2%48 W · 111 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	+44.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae61…c7f7backed Yes	2c	9,603$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.17	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.32per pick	18cpaid	+47.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83e0…bbe7backed Yes	1c	8,007$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	26cpaid	+88.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d78…6929backed Yes	2c	8,000$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.95	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	2c	7,452$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.69	56	3.6%2 W · 54 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+93.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	3c	7,206$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.55	263	30%79 W · 184 L	+12.6wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f0a…63acbacked Yes	2c	7,048$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.05	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-87.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	2c	6,829$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.32	170	5.9%10 W · 160 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16dd…adf5backed Yes	1c	6,507$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.55	31	16.1%5 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Yes	3c	6,165$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.67	54	13%7 W · 47 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x381c…c62dbacked Yes	2c	6,110$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	44	63.6%28 W · 16 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd265…82afbacked Yes	2c	5,900$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.48	90	34.4%31 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	1c	5,736$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.36	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf509…f1a7backed Yes	1c	5,530$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	11cpaid	+102%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…a91cbacked Yes	3c	5,434$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Yes	2c	5,163$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.74	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c49…793bbacked Yes	3c	5,025$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+71.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e97…8908backed Yes	4c	4,958$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefdc…0befbacked Yes	2c	4,826$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.34	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3701…1b5ebacked Yes	4c	4,639$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.31	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24c8…23e1backed Yes	1c	4,438$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.42	27	14.8%4 W · 23 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	2c	4,379$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.44	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bc1…46e1backed Yes	2c	4,348$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	2c	4,128$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.92	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	1cpaid	+1,149.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	4,034$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.83	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb229…8e56backed Yes	3c	3,777$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.33	35	17.1%6 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25de…a9dcbacked Yes	1c	3,751$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	5cpaid	+564.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x71af…dd01backed Yes	5c	3,649$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.78	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1dad…90bdbacked Yes	2c	3,600$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.48	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	21cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Yes	2c	3,571$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.14	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	4c	3,569$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.07	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x48f6…9552backed Yes	3c	3,456$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.88	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes	1c	3,374$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd151…9623backed Yes	2c	3,304$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cc…7398backed Yes	2c	3,260$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.5	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+275.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b88…fffbbacked Yes	4c	3,134$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e96…7b13backed Yes	3c	3,054$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Yes	3c	3,025$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.25	69	65.2%45 W · 24 L	+9.6wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+49.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe15a…9854backed Yes	2c	3,008$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.11	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x648b…00babacked Yes	2c	2,913$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	5	40%2 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	2c	2,810$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.65	202	1.5%3 W · 199 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes	2c	2,767$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb6…f63dbacked Yes	2c	2,381$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+149.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4e1a…947cbacked Yes	2c	2,288$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa97…55b8backed Yes	1c	2,267$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.67	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d1…c4b9backed Yes	2c	2,267$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.49	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51e9…be7cbacked Yes	2c	2,200$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	11cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes	2c	2,128$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…374abacked Yes	2c	2,060$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	132	51.5%68 W · 64 L	+8.5wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0bee…9cfebacked Yes	2c	2,004$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes	3c	2,000$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	94	35.1%33 W · 61 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a0…0e4ebacked Yes	3c	1,927$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7514…82d1backed Yes	1c	1,913$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	251	27.1%68 W · 183 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	4c	1,852$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.1	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb859…1abbbacked Yes	3c	1,808$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.69	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-55.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a26…9b20backed Yes	3c	1,754$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe94…57d4backed Yes	2c	1,740$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	5cpaid	+495.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f6d…e72cbacked Yes	11c	1,645$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.94	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes	2c	1,593$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.07	40	2.5%1 W · 39 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1447…4dcfbacked Yes	2c	1,576$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8aba…1cb4backed Yes	3c	1,569$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	4c	1,548$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.8	227	31.7%72 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e6…794ebacked Yes	1c	1,537$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe306…e8a3backed Yes	2c	1,432$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.77	79	59.5%47 W · 32 L	+7.7wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x931a…b7f7backed Yes	2c	1,425$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafde…f364backed Yes	2c	1,396$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.3	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.0wins	-0.12per pick	31cpaid	-51%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes	4c	1,361$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684f…cfc1backed Yes	2c	1,337$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	2c	1,307$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	37	0%0 W · 37 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d42…00a2backed Yes	2c	1,281$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e57…53b3backed Yes	2c	1,266$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.33	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7711…360cbacked Yes	2c	1,261$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+71.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes	15c	1,258$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.75	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	12c	1,219$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.48	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	7c	1,191$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.07	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	2c	1,164$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.41	221	25.8%57 W · 164 L	-10.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	6c	1,149$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.02	167	4.2%7 W · 160 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb514…09e6backed Yes	12c	1,074$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.85	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08e5…9089backed Yes	11c	1,046$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.47	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	21cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32fb…1ca4backed Yes	2c	1,016$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	96	12.5%12 W · 84 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c9e…50eebacked Yes	2c	1,009$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df7…780dbacked Yes	2c	1,007$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	155	46.5%72 W · 83 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes	2c	1,000$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	50	4%2 W · 48 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes	4c	1,000$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.8	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed Yes	2c	999.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes	4c	999.95$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	471	27.8%131 W · 340 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd8e…b6aabacked Yes	4c	984.53$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.85	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.28per pick	29cpaid	+119.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79de…db49backed Yes	2c	913.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.36	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+153.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Yes	2c	909.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	184	36.4%67 W · 117 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd0…5cd3backed Yes	1c	907.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.31per pick	44cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	2c	905$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b43…31cebacked Yes	2c	899.97$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event