TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b43…31ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$698.08
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$381.29
Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$509Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.8
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$2,012Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,012.4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.2
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$236
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$416
Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$312
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$556Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.5
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+229.7%+$208.99
Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$156
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$394.8
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,003Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$897
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,610
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST2568%17 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Chiefs vs. Cowboysbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Packers vs. Lionsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Buccaneers vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+31.6%+$7.89
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Browns vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$17.51
Jaguars vs. Cardinalsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Lions vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+40.8%+$6.13
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.07
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.43
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Steelers vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+72.4%+$8.69
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+25%+$8
Ravens vs. Vikingsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Patriots vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Saints vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$44
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Bears vs. Ravensbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.31
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.3
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BNP Paribas Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
Pune: Federico Cina vs Felix Gillbacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jiri Leheckabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
ATX Open: Rebeka Masarova vs Whitney Osuigwebacked Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Lugano: Dylan Dietrich vs Daniil Glinkabacked Glinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
Chile Open: Andrea Pellegrino vs Alex Barrenabacked Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+33.3%+$5
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Jessica Pegula vs Elena Rybakinabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+47.1%+$25.88
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+28.2%+$8.8
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.9%+$56.43
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.2
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$14.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.3
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+107.6%+$62.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$58.4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+80.3%+$57.9
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+44.9%+$11.23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+25.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+166.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+82.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$667Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$388.13
Will Como win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$24.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+88.7%+$26.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+51.5%+$136
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$307Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$93.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carabobo FC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.