Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Dylan Dietrich vs Daniil Glinka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1c5006be4a655cdc02ee9196d83ebeeafc9958d201720dad5be24d44035ebb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Glinkaof Dietrich, Glinka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dietrich | 20c | 3,884$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.2 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dietrich | 20c | 3,570$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dietrich | 25c | 2,864$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.68 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Dietrich | 18c | 2,468$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.97 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dietrich | 25c | 1,219$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa785…acb6backed Glinka | 77c | 608.35$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dietrich | 26c | 579.38$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.09 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dietrich | 36c | 500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Dietrich | 43c | 459.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.38 | 111 | 23.4%26 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Dietrich | 27c | 451.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Dietrich | 46c | 430.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Glinka | 66c | 414.44$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…f902backed Dietrich | 17c | 311.56$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Glinka | 65c | 306.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Glinka | 75c | 274.22$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.46 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Glinka | 62c | 255.34$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.58 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…8d44backed Dietrich | 39c | 254.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dietrich | 36c | 216.43$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Glinka | 69c | 209$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Dietrich | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Dietrich | 43c | 179.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Glinka | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Glinka | 65c | 164.25$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Glinka | 69c | 160.76$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Glinka | 79c | 160$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 944 | 47.7%450 W · 494 L | +34.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Dietrich | 35c | 156.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7607…85debacked Glinka | 66c | 151.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Glinka | 63c | 142.9$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Glinka | 62c | 142.7$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.23 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf337…609abacked Dietrich | 28c | 139.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Glinka | 79c | 137.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Dietrich | 34c | 136.82$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dietrich | 34c | 127.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Dietrich | 38c | 126.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Dietrich | 39c | 126.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Glinka | 79c | 124$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Dietrich | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Glinka | 72c | 109$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Glinka | 62c | 98.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Glinka | 79c | 96.14$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf2…85b7backed Glinka | 63c | 95.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4a…6570backed Glinka | 78c | 89.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Dietrich | 38c | 89$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Dietrich | 39c | 88.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Glinka | 78c | 86.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Glinka | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Glinka | 61c | 76.47$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Dietrich | 38c | 69.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Glinka | 58c | 67.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Dietrich | 26c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc5…a45bbacked Glinka | 69c | 65.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dietrich | 19c | 64.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Dietrich | 24c | 57.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…622ebacked Dietrich | 31c | 55.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Glinka | 69c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Dietrich | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…cdb5backed Glinka | 65c | 51.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc10a…46b5backed Glinka | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 69cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Glinka | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Glinka | 58c | 45.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Glinka | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Dietrich | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Dietrich | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf791…8ef9backed Glinka | 64c | 34.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Glinka | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Glinka | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Glinka | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Glinka | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 146 | 39%57 W · 89 L | -14.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca3…483abacked Glinka | 77c | 22.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01f5…5cfbbacked Glinka | 64c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Glinka | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Glinka | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Glinka | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…7111backed Glinka | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.