TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37dd…28e0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT3080%24 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick67cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+36%+$11.89
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.71
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.57
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$9.18
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.45
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$19.53
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$12.15
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$23.19
Warriors vs. Pistonsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Magic vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$26.93
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$7.28
Raptors vs. Bullsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$19.07
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.36
Suns vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Magic vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Nets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.46
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$8.32
Suns vs. Pacersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.63
Raptors vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+113.2%+$28.47
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT2360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$9.62
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+70%+$14.01
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.58
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the All India N.R. Congress (AINRC) win the most seats in the 2026 Puducherry Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$63.54
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.38
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$12.39
Will Fidesz–KDNP finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.1%+$21.03
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$32.05
Will Laure Lavalette be the next mayor of Toulon?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.43
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$53.6
Will Waldo Albarracín win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$18.07
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$18.13
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a No. 1 seed win Super Bowl LXbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$44.21
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Sharks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Shanghai Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.48
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SHL: Leksands IF vs. Froelunda HCbacked Leksands IF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$43.79
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburgbacked CSKA Moscow · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+31.3%+$9.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cleveland Guardians vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.