TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof TYLOO, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,461,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,461,443 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 616 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked TYLOO39c127,925$49,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,890.6542440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed TYLOO26c74,311$19,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,425.6433043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04fe…3688backed Team Falcons61c50,491$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,691.581266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed TYLOO13c37,626$4,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,891.3422049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9750…263dbacked TYLOO27c37,359$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team Falcons68c26,766$18,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,537.073,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Team Falcons76c22,985$17,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,404.657256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Team Falcons71c22,187$15,822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,364.8219757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Falcons67c19,702$13,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,521.8344957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed TYLOO40c17,471$6,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,988.434731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed TYLOO23c17,299$4,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,022.2246149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f9c…b3e0backed TYLOO38c15,851$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+70%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe262…4097backed TYLOO14c15,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1004537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9bad…861fbacked TYLOO40c14,860$5,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,943.961668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+35.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83ef…b4b5backed TYLOO1c12,068$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons60c10,958$6,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.1481751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed TYLOO13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons77c9,124$7,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.992,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed TYLOO18c8,969$1,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,592.3553746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed52…2dbdbacked TYLOO18c8,786$1,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59913553.3%72 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Team Falcons70c8,620$6,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.545,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Falcons79c7,101$5,641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,459.236,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed TYLOO14c7,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0101,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons67c7,000$4,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,315.4414954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Falcons74c6,694$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,714.6921939.7%87 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Falcons79c6,332$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.882,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed TYLOO14c6,313$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.6297040.7%395 W · 575 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed TYLOO21c5,776$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.711,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Team Falcons71c5,631$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.5912449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7747…7cf2backed TYLOO22c5,408$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa932…3081backed TYLOO13c5,180$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.463363.6%21 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Team Falcons67c5,116$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.051553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed TYLOO18c5,080$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.4930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed Team Falcons75c5,009$3,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.917851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons61c5,000$3,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,93035940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed TYLOO14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70019645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed TYLOO40c4,865$1,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.8264552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons73c4,789$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.423,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4108…9e22backed TYLOO14c4,786$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67011940.3%48 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Falcons78c4,260$3,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.429046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Falcons79c4,080$3,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.071,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed TYLOO13c4,018$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.3511637.9%44 W · 72 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TYLOO22c4,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9928538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Team Falcons64c3,964$2,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.1224544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed TYLOO14c3,880$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked TYLOO15c3,851$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.0222927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Falcons79c3,812$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.1827452.9%145 W · 129 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Team Falcons74c3,800$2,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.986147.5%29 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed TYLOO38c3,788$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.3923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Team Falcons61c3,777$2,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.0517240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked TYLOO21c3,460$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.3629127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb090…69d7backed TYLOO9c3,429$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2982850%14 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Team Falcons69c3,411$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.2835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed TYLOO24c3,116$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.5720440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed TYLOO23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked TYLOO19c2,972$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7648319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO14c2,960$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.945,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ef…1884backed TYLOO17c2,957$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-39.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Falcons61c2,935$1,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.683056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed TYLOO22c2,919$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.1124846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked TYLOO18c2,776$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…fb00backed TYLOO11c2,664$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick20cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a18…0808backed TYLOO17c2,501$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.353432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed TYLOO5c2,412$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12018426.1%48 W · 136 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed TYLOO14c2,391$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.726344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed TYLOO23c2,382$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54024346.9%114 W · 129 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbea…8e58backed TYLOO18c2,352$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.372254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed TYLOO1c2,200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.517617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked TYLOO30c2,195$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.531,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed TYLOO30c2,130$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2888746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO24c2,126$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.827,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed TYLOO14c2,006$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7915141.7%63 W · 88 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Team Falcons61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78042142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons61c2,000$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78031345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed Team Falcons75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefad…501fbacked TYLOO5c2,000$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1061533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick17cpaid+170.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked TYLOO23c2,000$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.4961228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed TYLOO15c1,988$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.455,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked TYLOO15c1,967$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed TYLOO26c1,890$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked TYLOO14c1,831$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524619.6%9 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed TYLOO15c1,812$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.1461837.9%234 W · 384 L-22.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed Team Falcons72c1,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5046747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons60c1,800$1,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.3825555.3%141 W · 114 L+1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed TYLOO20c1,782$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.2338552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Team Falcons61c1,751$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.7792152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4c6…c820backed Team Falcons61c1,633$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc25…4fa8backed Team Falcons77c1,556$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.9613453%71 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Team Falcons78c1,501$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.1215970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed TYLOO6c1,500$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked TYLOO14c1,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21023932.2%77 W · 162 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3581…7427backed Team Falcons80c1,477$1,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.083372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e4…c3c6backed TYLOO39c1,470$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.861163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043f…d9e1backed Team Falcons80c1,446$1,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf13…ed3dbacked TYLOO14c1,427$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.788633.7%29 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked TYLOO14c1,400$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.614137.6%53 W · 88 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a3…43d5backed Team Falcons80c1,382$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.69785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Team Falcons73c1,378$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.3421536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked TYLOO30c1,355$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.551,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked TYLOO25c1,340$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.555133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.