CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a1f5091ebbc0209d4cfb00d62e57e5b0b5fbfd98087162e73e52107387c5fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,386 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 21c | 25,000$5,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,249.99 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 79c | 13,553$10,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.03 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 12,617$9,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.74 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Under | 72c | 1,388$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.04 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed52…2dbdbacked Over | 53c | 935.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.72 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 22c | 796.08$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 35c | 785.67$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.37 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Under | 26c | 769.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 55c | 704.19$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 56c | 545.98$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.12 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 56c | 400.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.58 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Under | 67c | 399.97$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.88 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Under | 66c | 372.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.63 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 44c | 354.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.97 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3298…4c8fbacked Under | 47c | 344.7$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 48c | 222.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 33c | 203.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 65c | 199.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…915bbacked Over | 34c | 169.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 20c | 162.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 275 | 56.7%156 W · 119 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 29c | 158.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.69 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 33c | 138.36$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed Over | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…b3b6backed Under | 72c | 115.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 44c | 110.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Under | 22c | 110.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e2…040dbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe140…949fbacked Under | 71c | 96.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 59c | 96$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 64c | 96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 78c | 88.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.27per pick | 58cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Under | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f22…9d96backed Over | 36c | 82.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4010…77d4backed Over | 47c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 60c | 70.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 314 | 40.1%126 W · 188 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 19c | 70.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 67c | 70$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353f…bdd4backed Over | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 492 | 42.1%207 W · 285 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac1…d5c4backed Under | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 34c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa304…b075backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f24…51d4backed Over | 34c | 38.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 79c | 36.87$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Under | 62c | 30.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Over | 46c | 29.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Under | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 54c | 24.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 46c | 24.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 49c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Over | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Under | 65c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 64c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Over | 79c | 16.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Under | 66c | 16.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…9a99backed Under | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group ATeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)TYLOO won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.