TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
TYLOOof Team Falcons, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$223,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $223,848 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9750…263dbacked TYLOO47c35,993$17,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,992.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed TYLOO37c22,778$8,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,339.1533043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Falcons63c13,000$8,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,19014954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Team Falcons1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80200%0 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons59c6,926$4,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,086.2167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Falcons62c6,587$4,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.1581751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Team Falcons62c4,875$3,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,022.5919455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Team Falcons61c4,109$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.2385358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked TYLOO37c4,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Falcons56c4,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,22098352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6978…9897backed Team Falcons63c3,473$2,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,18812449.2%61 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Team Falcons61c3,466$2,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.1918060.6%109 W · 71 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Team Falcons63c3,255$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.6635850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed TYLOO37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,889.9772046.1%332 W · 388 L-2.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed Team Falcons52c2,784$1,448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,447.695347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab80…ffc0backed TYLOO40c2,473$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.072623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked TYLOO38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24084454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked TYLOO37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Falcons60c1,654$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.221,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Team Falcons61c1,627$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9961553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Team Falcons64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Team Falcons43c1,553$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.6543933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Team Falcons63c1,500$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94592152.6%484 W · 437 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Team Falcons62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93057358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5818…44a3backed Team Falcons60c1,500$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9006248.4%30 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa02b…70d6backed TYLOO21c1,454$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.8417857.3%102 W · 76 L+27.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x5ea8…51a7backed Team Falcons79c1,454$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Team Falcons1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Team Falcons63c1,300$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8192250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed TYLOO40c1,053$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.52965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Team Falcons64c1,029$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.5128443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Team Falcons64c1,013$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.5323557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Team Falcons1c1,005$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Team Falcons62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62024134.4%83 W · 158 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Team Falcons60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6008654.7%47 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Team Falcons1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea1…f17ebacked Team Falcons1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13340%0 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked TYLOO41c944.88$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.483,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked TYLOO39c897.44$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.446339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Team Falcons67c897.32$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed TYLOO35c889.99$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.4933232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Team Falcons63c884.95$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5578852.3%46 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team Falcons63c884.52$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.259442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Team Falcons53c802.24$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.1476546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Team Falcons25c800$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1981747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick26cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1393…446dbacked Team Falcons63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.22per pick54cpaid-48.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb79…f6c9backed Team Falcons63c793.05$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.621947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed Team Falcons64c786.44$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b39…3234backed Team Falcons63c753$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.3931345%141 W · 172 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed TYLOO37c713.49$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.512552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f4…4a4abacked Team Falcons25c700$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbd2…f8a0backed Team Falcons55c700$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38518752.4%98 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d9…d520backed Team Falcons25c700$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+94.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed TYLOO38c697.74$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.2516047.5%76 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Team Falcons16c624.64$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Team Falcons63c614$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.824555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed TYLOO37c540.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.532060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+14.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed Team Falcons19c530$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.574122%9 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed TYLOO38c526.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.3237232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed TYLOO39c521$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.482,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafa3…1f19backed Team Falcons25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked TYLOO45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27519741.6%82 W · 115 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ac…a735backed TYLOO40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30024429.5%72 W · 172 L-0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Team Falcons63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009565.3%62 W · 33 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf171…85febacked Team Falcons63c476.19$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007350.7%37 W · 36 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed TYLOO37c405.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.41154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Team Falcons62c404.99$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0911651.7%60 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Team Falcons26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+117.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0165…2281backed Team Falcons63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522737%10 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x782f…b46abacked Team Falcons71c395.99$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.154850%24 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed TYLOO38c381.98$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.8314454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d1…f540backed Team Falcons60c350$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21017849.4%88 W · 90 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Team Falcons24c350$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.53622.2%8 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick16cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed TYLOO37c345$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.3516250%81 W · 81 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9252…6069backed Team Falcons54c331.82$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Team Falcons9c326.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5720440.7%83 W · 121 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Team Falcons24c325$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.752642.3%11 W · 15 L+7.0wins+0.27per pick15cpaid+98.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x24f1…537cbacked Team Falcons63c317.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014555.2%80 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Team Falcons62c317.13$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.4633352.6%175 W · 158 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Team Falcons64c312.5$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20059049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed TYLOO38c307.89$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.8917847.2%84 W · 94 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebf8…7d2bbacked Team Falcons52c307.68$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9915355.6%85 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1277backed Team Falcons14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42825%2 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed TYLOO38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18613030.8%40 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1071…e39ebacked Team Falcons14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Team Falcons63c299.99$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.9942050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked TYLOO68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1214046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Team Falcons44c290$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.614352.4%75 W · 68 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Team Falcons71c269.13$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0822952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Team Falcons63c267.87$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17022843.9%100 W · 128 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed TYLOO38c265$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.315642.3%66 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed Team Falcons63c255$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.6510541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x906f…2877backed Team Falcons63c253.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16065254.3%354 W · 298 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Team Falcons65c231.75$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked TYLOO38c218.06$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6627556.7%156 W · 119 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed TYLOO48c206.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.5623940.2%96 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c4…0893backed Team Falcons63c205.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid+38.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee26…c270backed Team Falcons58c202.41$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.652445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked TYLOO41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11853545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Falcons62c199.89$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.931,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.