TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa07d…9a01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
510
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst F1 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT43933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 439 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO1) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffsbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.35
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR - Map 1 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Isurus (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagebacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.33
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$562.95
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$652Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.42
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs HOTU (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group Abacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.31
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Isurus (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Playoffsbacked Isurus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+821.5%+$1,877.66
Counter-Strike: Fluxo vs Keyd - Map 2 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.13
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$1,952.11
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Infinite (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Abacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$487
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs FOKUS (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs 3DMAX (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Cbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.3%+$294.02
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+2,733%+$5,174.87
Counter-Strike: Germany vs France (BO3) - Esports Nations Cup West European Qualifier Playoffsbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+191.7%+$90.24
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$286.02
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Showing 25 of 439 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT3735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$426.55
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,158.9
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.18
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$420
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$367Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$680.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$458.12
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.08
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$210.76
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Deniz Undav: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.57
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.44
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$119.78
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.71
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$495
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$299
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$902.57
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$432
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.97
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.11
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.71
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$270.37
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$99.21
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cilic (+1.5)backed Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+159.7%+$60.85
Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbertbacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+233.3%+$439.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+114.8%+$43.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$29.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.