Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10bb455936cf8f22777bdb8d3a1b97760cae2215d60c15001c5d252c0f26478e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,089,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,152,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,089,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 614 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 1,396,154$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.15 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed Yes | 0c | 996,746$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 0c | 978,372$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…aefabacked Yes | 0c | 870,962$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.54 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…ad3cbacked Yes | 0c | 464,896$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 453,500$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.5 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8f92backed Yes | 0c | 448,570$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…6436backed Yes | 0c | 387,483$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbb…7cdbbacked Yes | 0c | 343,859$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 2c | 304,385$4,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,596.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65f3…19d7backed Yes | 0c | 299,940$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…97adbacked Yes | 0c | 222,482$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 0c | 216,754$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.47 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 4c | 215,060$8,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,118.3 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ce…422abacked Yes | 0c | 210,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…3409backed Yes | 0c | 203,070$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 3c | 200,000$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.78 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 4c | 186,935$7,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.55 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…3d19backed Yes | 0c | 185,363$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 152,090$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.82 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…0d31backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 2c | 134,414$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.06 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed Yes | 0c | 126,669$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.67 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd782…9285backed Yes | 0c | 119,812$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…0477backed Yes | 0c | 118,566$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…d89dbacked Yes | 2c | 110,000$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…d154backed Yes | 5c | 108,289$5,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,948.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed Yes | 5c | 102,448$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,304.81 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…5cc4backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…c253backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…2465backed Yes | 0c | 99,950$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b83…7fb5backed Yes | 1c | 98,692$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff8…7e6dbacked Yes | 1c | 86,065$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d8…1461backed Yes | 0c | 86,000$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…7ec3backed Yes | 1c | 84,521$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…df05backed Yes | 0c | 84,147$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…011dbacked Yes | 0c | 84,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e64…2190backed Yes | 3c | 79,938$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…a5afbacked Yes | 1c | 78,963$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…5192backed Yes | 1c | 76,517$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…6258backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941d…f382backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…1968backed Yes | 0c | 75,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 3c | 72,500$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,955 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…f097backed Yes | 0c | 69,270$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…4a9abacked Yes | 0c | 69,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c21…2a53backed Yes | 2c | 68,937$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…e9babacked Yes | 0c | 68,835$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…01e6backed Yes | 0c | 64,283$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 64,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.1 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 9c | 61,797$5,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,423.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…f72abacked Yes | 0c | 59,067$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…3d18backed Yes | 0c | 58,333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes | 2c | 58,216$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf446…6aa9backed Yes | 1c | 55,783$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…577fbacked Yes | 6c | 55,692$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…34c6backed Yes | 1c | 55,260$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…c44ebacked Yes | 0c | 54,500$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…096fbacked Yes | 0c | 53,715$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 52,963$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.2 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…1085backed Yes | 0c | 52,500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…eeffbacked Yes | 0c | 51,677$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…f268backed Yes | 0c | 51,125$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…dff1backed Yes | 0c | 50,335$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…8a04backed Yes | 1c | 50,251$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.61 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -93.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 0c | 50,194$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.83 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…d070backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…63a9backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…13a4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49db…2019backed Yes | 1c | 49,993$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.9 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -79%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…d079backed Yes | 0c | 49,490$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be9…c41cbacked Yes | 0c | 48,500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Yes | 1c | 46,647$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…d73dbacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 45,468$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.1 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…d9abbacked Yes | 0c | 45,017$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f37…7920backed Yes | 0c | 44,843$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…748cbacked Yes | 2c | 44,566$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5d…c775backed Yes | 1c | 44,482$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…c637backed Yes | 4c | 43,943$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 1c | 43,000$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.31 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf8…fb62backed Yes | 2c | 42,997$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.59 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 1c | 42,330$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.62 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…f794backed Yes | 0c | 40,855$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…79eebacked Yes | 0c | 40,695$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.03 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a3…b526backed Yes | 5c | 40,315$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd474…40c8backed Yes | 0c | 40,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…21e4backed Yes | 0c | 39,719$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8364…2c70backed Yes | 4c | 39,076$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a0…0e91backed Yes | 4c | 38,955$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 1c | 38,333$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…7360backed Yes | 0c | 37,807$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…32eebacked Yes | 3c | 35,000$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,184.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41c1…f3eebacked Yes | 1c | 34,479$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…ddd7backed Yes | 0c | 33,500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a8…cb8cbacked Yes | 2c | 33,205$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.