Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffffb2874475ae9c1e3a0e3c3c4b4e329eb3105427aa484f357bf41c5fd77c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,629,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,455,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,629,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3779…0f80backed No | 1c | 905,506$7,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,656.23 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 4c | 440,844$19,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,790.12 | 64 | 21.9%14 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed No | 9c | 418,162$35,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,862.99 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…cc80backed No | 11c | 417,678$45,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,334.22 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d338backed Yes | 79c | 412,135$325,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,027.07 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -34%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed No | 2c | 399,813$9,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,432.37 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 6c | 389,566$22,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,616.74 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Yes | 76c | 333,572$252,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,129.6 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 270,805$183,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,135.34 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 2c | 245,592$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,757.78 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…6436backed No | 2c | 188,848$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed No | 2c | 188,501$4,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…108bbacked No | 2c | 172,148$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,990 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 11c | 149,673$16,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,536.6 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…1f0abacked No | 2c | 131,277$2,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,852.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd5d…aefabacked No | 7c | 123,199$8,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,143.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…c25abacked No | 2c | 110,853$2,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed No | 1c | 103,462$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.03 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…7058backed No | 2c | 94,282$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,168.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 20c | 92,407$18,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,133.79 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6a…18e9backed Yes | 67c | 90,132$60,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,743.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…157fbacked No | 33c | 90,124$29,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,740.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 7c | 88,756$6,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,379.79 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 25c | 87,201$22,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,094.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 11c | 85,949$9,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,239.47 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…d3a5backed No | 2c | 80,164$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…491bbacked No | 1c | 80,097$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…ff46backed No | 10c | 65,941$6,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,509.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…de55backed No | 10c | 65,622$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…f72abacked No | 1c | 62,308$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 5c | 56,257$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.34 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed No | 16c | 53,605$8,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,819.19 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 17c | 52,366$8,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,996.63 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…97adbacked No | 2c | 52,356$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…da50backed No | 2c | 52,267$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked No | 2c | 51,121$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked No | 2c | 49,993$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 9c | 40,429$3,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,505.31 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…ca3fbacked No | 2c | 40,305$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…8bd8backed No | 2c | 40,136$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e1…45f0backed No | 21c | 37,323$7,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,660.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 5c | 37,162$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…322cbacked No | 2c | 36,339$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed No | 2c | 35,277$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.98 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…e8d2backed No | 2c | 34,099$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4998…f311backed No | 2c | 31,579$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9268…3409backed No | 2c | 30,309$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…ab24backed No | 2c | 30,000$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d5…4739backed No | 2c | 29,019$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa115…277fbacked No | 2c | 27,737$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbb…7cdbbacked No | 2c | 26,867$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 5c | 25,789$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.9 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…c6d5backed No | 2c | 25,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe810…8fc5backed No | 17c | 24,320$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked No | 1c | 23,846$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 78c | 23,522$18,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,266.62 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c6…fa1dbacked No | 2c | 23,206$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7a…d04fbacked No | 2c | 23,017$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2454…2ab5backed No | 2c | 22,727$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…b1d4backed No | 24c | 22,483$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…1f3cbacked No | 2c | 21,918$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 13c | 21,350$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,701.7 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4376…d0dfbacked No | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 2c | 20,500$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 67c | 20,443$13,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,779.12 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…dd73backed No | 2c | 20,424$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…0d16backed No | 3c | 20,400$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc3…648ebacked No | 1c | 20,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed No | 18c | 20,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 22c | 19,670$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,334.83 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 16c | 19,165$3,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,098.11 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94be…aeb5backed Yes | 74c | 18,649$13,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b9…f10cbacked No | 2c | 18,622$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…3782backed No | 2c | 18,400$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac73…037bbacked No | 2c | 17,892$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x626c…288dbacked No | 2c | 17,737$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6f…fe11backed No | 9c | 17,307$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed No | 45c | 16,581$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410.39 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed No | 5c | 16,560$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 2c | 16,136$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.7 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…9247backed No | 2c | 15,789$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 67c | 15,220$10,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,094.66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b9…c2b6backed No | 15c | 14,600$2,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked No | 28c | 14,446$3,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,989.69 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…4b1abacked No | 2c | 14,353$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 9c | 14,113$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.25 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Yes | 77c | 13,846$10,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,155.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…389ebacked No | 2c | 13,185$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 77c | 13,000$10,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,930 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…1a14backed No | 2c | 12,751$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 12,731$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 14c | 12,343$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.56 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 65c | 12,295$7,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,306.46 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…5089backed No | 2c | 12,155$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 66c | 11,792$7,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.65 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…b4c8backed No | 2c | 11,604$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e05…01cdbacked No | 0c | 11,389$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…ed95backed No | 2c | 11,039$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…0238backed No | 2c | 10,950$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.