Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf1e237a1e8cbf9c0b454dc984f5dc789f57f85b077a6a7383489b00b75dc4af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,000,662
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,194,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,000,662 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 301 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x02d3…2136backed Yes | 0c | 2,402,123$2,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 1c | 1,390,040$7,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,474.34 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 0c | 1,194,540$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed Yes | 0c | 1,176,357$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 1,132,472$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.36 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…108bbacked Yes | 0c | 999,000$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 977,210$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.21 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c71…d035backed Yes | 0c | 832,948$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecc…6ee0backed Yes | 1c | 489,522$3,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.92 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 0c | 449,780$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 1c | 314,589$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.8 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…6436backed Yes | 0c | 246,437$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…6a84backed Yes | 1c | 208,590$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4c…cb39backed Yes | 0c | 197,569$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.27 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 1c | 192,569$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.56 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…0aadbacked Yes | 1c | 174,032$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…c62ebacked Yes | 1c | 173,648$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 0c | 161,000$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x552c…0d31backed Yes | 0c | 157,220$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…8003backed Yes | 1c | 135,994$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 123,246$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 0c | 120,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…3d18backed Yes | 0c | 107,751$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…3d19backed Yes | 0c | 104,820$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…c363backed Yes | 0c | 104,622$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 103,349$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 1c | 100,700$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.4 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…480dbacked Yes | 1c | 100,535$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…237cbacked Yes | 1c | 100,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…8d5ebacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…65e8backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…5c3abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…f802backed Yes | 0c | 99,000$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad1…d070backed Yes | 0c | 91,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…011dbacked Yes | 0c | 85,000$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…eeffbacked Yes | 0c | 75,392$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…97adbacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb065…d73dbacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…b0debacked Yes | 0c | 72,970$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 0c | 69,305$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.6 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…21b0backed Yes | 1c | 60,048$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…f72abacked Yes | 0c | 57,057$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…c253backed Yes | 0c | 56,000$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…096fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,155$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbf…83bfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 3cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc619…9dc7backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…41bebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…2e81backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…4b1abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a6…77d4backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583b…729fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…6da8backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d09…1714backed Yes | 1c | 41,814$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8620…5062backed Yes | 1c | 41,372$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 40,988$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.83 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…6b5ebacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…491bbacked Yes | 0c | 37,250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c2…09b0backed Yes | 1c | 36,014$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…a97cbacked Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…4c47backed Yes | 0c | 34,363$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.45 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…be2abacked Yes | 1c | 32,363$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…0a84backed Yes | 0c | 31,000$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…7defbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…ef9cbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc04…7f2ebacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea9…1978backed Yes | 1c | 28,333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 0c | 27,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 27,324$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2426…acf0backed Yes | 0c | 26,970$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Yes | 0c | 25,960$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 0c | 25,370$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…9d0dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…c3bcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…e570backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd5…5683backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…89d9backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…aeb1backed Yes | 0c | 24,713$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c6…f8a7backed Yes | 0c | 23,960$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…39fbbacked Yes | 0c | 23,030$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68f9…0be1backed Yes | 1c | 21,652$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa112…4150backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x277a…2b99backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…b2c7backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15a…35d9backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…465dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…46e5backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2381…81d1backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b7…07a1backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad30…2697backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…5141backed Yes | 0c | 18,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…35fbbacked Yes | 0c | 17,875$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae9…0cf3backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 1c | 17,000$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8146…b0efbacked Yes | 0c | 16,667$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 0c | 16,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32e4…f250backed Yes | 0c | 15,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…04e7backed Yes | 1c | 15,636$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8898…3395backed Yes | 0c | 15,610$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…965dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,170$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.