TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2b39…bc0d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
383
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Champions League, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 60 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT6038.3%23 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.97
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+212.4%+$90.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.71
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.03
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+400%+$200
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.78
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.51
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.17
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$55.8
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.25
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$88.7
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.8
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.01
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.65
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82%+$180.9
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.76
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$166.88
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$96.04
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.27
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.15
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT4641.3%19 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.9
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$37.8
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.39
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+27%+$7.71
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.16
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.19
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$99.95
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.98
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$36.72
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.87
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$64.68
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$45.36
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$73.83
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.77
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$21.52
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 40-44% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 36-40% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$174.47
Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$96.18
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$31.2
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+196.8%+$197.49
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT4560%27 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$81.76
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+87.6%+$72.37
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.17
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$16.48
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.01
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+162.5%+$39.19
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.98
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.87
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.56
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.25
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+226.6%+$89.5
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$62.93
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+46%+$26.22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$27.32
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.78
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.87
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.83
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$29.85
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.56
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$19.47
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+346.9%+$130.91
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$54.53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.62
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.84
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,400 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$61
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$136.52
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$55.75
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$16.69
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.28
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 375M by May 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.9
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.03
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$42.7
Will Pakistan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.2
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$40.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of April 20 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.37
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$31.21
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Champions League — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.21
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$336
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$724.72
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 4 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+333.1%+$399.69
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.55
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 2 - 1 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$273
Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Club Atlético de Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+617.8%+$421.36
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 3 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 3 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 2 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.73
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 0 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$750
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 1 FC Bayern München?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.88
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Fifa Internationallast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+681.3%+$436
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.23
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.1
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,413Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,412.54
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$198.84
Will Romania win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.9
Will Slovakia win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$195.3
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Villarreal CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$26.96
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)backed Real Oviedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$364.44
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.99
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Elche CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$42.99
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$44.99
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,213Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,212.63
Elche CF vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$85.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.44
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$90
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.27
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$104.38
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13.85
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.95
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.71
GPT-5.5 released by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Claude Opus 4.7 by Anthropic debut at a score of at least 1500?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.21
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
ChatGPT Outage by April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$48.19
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+178.2%+$90.31
ChatGPT Outage by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.23
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT120%0 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 31 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$644.56
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Jerome Powell say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$397.7
Will Jerome Powell say "good afternoon" during the May meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$108.46
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will The Weeknd have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+862.7%+$129.63
Will Kanye release BULLY by April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$158.36
Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Greece win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-68.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$262
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.5
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.95
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sloane Stephensbacked Sloane Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Marie Bouzkova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 8 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-84.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+28.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-73.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+54.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.04
Will China unban Bitcoin by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.