Music · resolved market
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62743a4dfdad25555810576c9b03d9786a5bada28a05c9f3b67b43f0e3f19b05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 13c | 5,902$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 9c | 4,549$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed No | 24c | 4,549$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 8c | 2,746$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 10c | 2,696$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked No | 4c | 2,227$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 1,887$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.55 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed No | 7c | 1,682$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 20c | 1,579$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.4 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked No | 4c | 1,483$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 6c | 1,248$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 9c | 1,190$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.72 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa817…6714backed Yes | 77c | 1,156$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf81…697dbacked No | 9c | 1,128$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…3c49backed No | 5c | 1,022$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 5c | 976.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 5c | 956.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 5c | 906.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed No | 15c | 906.2$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.44 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…45e3backed No | 13c | 904.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f61…d9d5backed No | 2c | 681.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 4c | 660.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed No | 22c | 609$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 9c | 571$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a77…40e9backed Yes | 75c | 557.66$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 10c | 547$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…e6c0backed No | 2c | 490.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -67%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 15c | 488.83$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…460abacked No | 3c | 481.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 8c | 454.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 3c | 435.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 5c | 431.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…4194backed No | 5c | 405.37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0251…07ffbacked No | 8c | 382.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…17e4backed Yes | 80c | 377.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7368…fd66backed No | 21c | 370.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…8a1fbacked No | 20c | 365.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…6f7abacked No | 21c | 300.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 18c | 295.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 5c | 285.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 10c | 275.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed No | 11c | 267.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +698%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…e34bbacked No | 15c | 261.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984d…3bb2backed Yes | 77c | 260.52$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 7c | 260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…99e7backed Yes | 77c | 259.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…5ee0backed No | 26c | 255.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 8c | 242.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…e677backed No | 5c | 231.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3b…9240backed No | 13c | 220.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 8c | 219.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 11c | 216.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 18c | 193.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629e…6be4backed No | 8c | 189.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64a…178dbacked No | 11c | 184.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 11c | 180.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 226 | 40.3%91 W · 135 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…4610backed No | 9c | 180.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c9…b469backed Yes | 75c | 176.99$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…6d94backed No | 14c | 161.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 10c | 155.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 7c | 155$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 14cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 77c | 146.69$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…69c6backed No | 16c | 140.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…9206backed Yes | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 8c | 137$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…7a96backed Yes | 78c | 133.85$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…5459backed Yes | 77c | 129.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Yes | 76c | 129.12$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 14c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…3159backed No | 22c | 110.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd064…2704backed No | 12c | 105.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…c0fdbacked No | 23c | 101.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…993bbacked No | 16c | 97.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +190.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 16c | 80.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…20b2backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2731…6e32backed No | 27c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…971cbacked Yes | 79c | 69.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 18c | 66.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e8…bc94backed Yes | 78c | 64.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…6262backed No | 16c | 62.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…5eb9backed Yes | 80c | 62.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…fb54backed Yes | 80c | 62.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb616…0086backed No | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…908fbacked Yes | 73c | 54.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5c…70e8backed Yes | 71c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9129…8555backed Yes | 79c | 47.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…c8f6backed Yes | 78c | 46.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c3…0648backed Yes | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb731…5797backed Yes | 77c | 39.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda8b…f0d9backed Yes | 77c | 38.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…4e00backed Yes | 78c | 38.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 78c | 36.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…1587backed Yes | 73c | 33.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfee…1cf0backed Yes | 79c | 31.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31f…2e03backed Yes | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3f…e8b6backed Yes | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64bd…fc62backed Yes | 78c | 29.31$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?this page
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.