TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7593…e677

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
171
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Macro Indicators, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Macro Indicators at 54 out of 100; worst China Taiwan at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.78
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.48
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.52
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.45
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$605Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$225.41
Will Israel strike 2 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.14
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+141.1%+$68.08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$79.6
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.05
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.46
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.67
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+454.6%+$2,734.44
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$227.51
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$122.59
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,667.06
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$519Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$519.3
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$152.09
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$235.56
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+343.6%+$187.82
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+104.4%+$93.72
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$146
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.95
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$165.6
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+263.6%+$290
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.47
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$17.64
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$36.19
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$339.9
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.59
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$17.74
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.96
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.37
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.08
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$12.57
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$109
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mallory McMorrow win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+136%+$428.26
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.5
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.86
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$18.25
Will Dakarai Larriett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$28.5
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$753Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$192.44
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+37.4%+$103.51
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$35.69
Will Andy Barr be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds over 75% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$664Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.5%+$295.57
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.7%+$249.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$28.38
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.92
Will Putin visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.8
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+561.4%+$1,760.4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$121.44
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$228.67
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.36
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$77
All 16 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.23
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$4.34
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$26.23
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.27
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$617Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$617.24
Will Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$13.75
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+84.6%+$45.83
Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$14.35
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,319.64
All 15 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$14.27
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.01
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$86
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$31.6
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.4
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28%+$54.25
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Claude 4.7 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.84
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,930Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$6,929.97
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,662Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$5,050.94
VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,680
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,403.64
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.86
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked California Baptist Lancers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Hofstra Pride · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-53.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-74.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+68.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-56%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win the LCK Cup 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.