TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$675,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$768,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $675,505 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x23f4…c234backed Yes27c41,104$11,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,139.164938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c23,869$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.122061.9%4 W · 202 L+1.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid+62.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb67…d696backed No71c16,594$11,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,845.177270.8%51 W · 21 L+20.9wins+0.29per pick42cpaid+190%equal weight74+0.22 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes37c15,518$5,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,751.64751.1%24 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69a0…e5f6backed No67c15,026$10,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,996.943666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d5a…9802backed Yes23c15,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-72.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58bb…8d5fbacked Yes24c12,189$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,880.76110%0 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e27…9890backed No78c12,161$9,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,635.723531.4%11 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-49.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xae62…05a2backed Yes31c12,141$3,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,763.3640%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccc1…889dbacked No75c11,714$8,747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,966.71966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+74.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked No59c11,525$6,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,684.13369.7%23 W · 10 L+10.1wins+0.31per pick39cpaid+135.5%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x8771…94aebacked No72c10,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,800650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b0c…7923backed Yes28c10,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.99933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-53.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55c0…6c7bbacked Yes0c9,118$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.982010%2 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-80.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf822…e836backed Yes24c8,429$2,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a33…c087backed Yes40c8,300$3,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,355.933756.8%21 W · 16 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22de…7e1abacked Yes25c6,981$1,745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,745.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2229…6bf8backed No64c6,484$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.93863.2%24 W · 14 L+10.5wins+0.28per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x034a…2640backed Yes30c6,459$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick28cpaid-85.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe4e6…4bd4backed No74c6,051$4,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.268854.5%48 W · 40 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x63a4…2528backed No65c6,000$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.993372.7%24 W · 9 L+13.8wins+0.42per pick31cpaid+257.2%equal weight76+0.24 edge/pick
0xf909…e5ccbacked Yes21c5,958$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,251.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcae6…a0e7backed Yes35c5,935$2,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,092.79757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+495.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No65c5,913$3,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.1417859.6%106 W · 72 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5a74…4e0abacked Yes42c5,763$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No74c5,736$4,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.8410336.9%38 W · 65 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+63.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5814…c58abacked Yes20c5,720$1,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,155.641127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ba…0aa6backed Yes18c5,439$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.98812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick32cpaid-71.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b3…be6cbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555832.8%19 W · 39 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de2…0231backed Yes12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60070%0 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes3c4,948$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.94843.8%21 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+64.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe270…10b5backed Yes20c4,737$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.236634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed No78c4,644$3,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.321553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7c9…0f2bbacked No56c4,344$2,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,911.425655.4%31 W · 25 L+13.4wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+86.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x5eac…4e5abacked Yes11c4,213$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.32520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked No62c4,207$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,611.174763.8%30 W · 17 L+10.3wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+48.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xfc00…9bd0backed Yes16c4,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.721915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-43.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b0…76f4backed No73c3,871$2,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.572524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-61.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x37f9…cc18backed Yes35c3,500$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.65911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-68.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No65c3,490$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.3820551.2%105 W · 100 L+13.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08b7…9f96backed Yes37c3,452$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.95666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+65.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7ee…9597backed Yes36c3,400$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20716247.5%77 W · 85 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+35.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x94df…2dcebacked No78c3,392$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.765459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…99e7backed No72c3,360$2,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.852975.9%22 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32be…83efbacked Yes30c3,294$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985.81933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e84…87b7backed Yes34c3,003$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.4130%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No68c3,000$2,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96516740.7%68 W · 99 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.992231.8%7 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e1…c852backed No64c2,785$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.453145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked No76c2,688$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.231442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No59c2,619$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.236350.8%32 W · 31 L+12.0wins+0.19per pick32cpaid+108.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xca03…91b8backed No58c2,607$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,106.931650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x407d…1baebacked No74c2,555$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.051241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b42…063ebacked Yes44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10070%0 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf119…5da4backed Yes12c2,453$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes43c2,342$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.341233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4298…8a28backed Yes32c2,218$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.560%0 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,209$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.167663.3%25 W · 741 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-75.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c2,202$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212442%5 W · 239 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e60…e13abacked No65c2,188$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.524100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+151.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24b7…0629backed Yes44c2,118$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.1440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b1b…a1cdbacked Yes34c2,100$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5957…3faabacked Yes37c2,006$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.741315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick42cpaid-69.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf629…bda0backed Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7409442.6%40 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb6d…3ef9backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2874…c2e7backed Yes52c2,000$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0352231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80090%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3531…4fb3backed Yes23c2,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604129.3%12 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3508…39b5backed Yes21c1,905$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50df…6290backed Yes37c1,830$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.8520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e9b…6a9ebacked Yes27c1,683$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x268b…e96dbacked Yes20c1,650$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330140%0 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed No68c1,640$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.065100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+125.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Yes27c1,541$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.162030%6 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf418…2990backed Yes30c1,503$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…9703backed Yes30c1,473$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.7520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No74c1,452$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.623841.2%98 W · 140 L+25.1wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+30.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6dca…f3ebbacked Yes30c1,444$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8101…e7bebacked Yes33c1,439$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.8740%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdce6…7ecfbacked Yes34c1,400$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-53.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes38c1,400$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5322729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…867abacked No64c1,400$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked No70c1,398$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.63855.3%21 W · 17 L+5.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+31.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8e0…eccdbacked No59c1,344$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7371…cadebacked Yes36c1,300$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4735457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6660…172bbacked No69c1,286$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.661266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4752…1817backed No63c1,281$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.76757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+57.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x031d…db9dbacked No79c1,273$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.295100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+73.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b4…103fbacked Yes24c1,171$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-73.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e3…99c6backed Yes37c1,142$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No61c1,137$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.643834.2%13 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+91.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf163…5955backed Yes32c1,128$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2870…70d0backed Yes30c1,121$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6061…5090backed Yes42c1,105$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc75…fd59backed Yes36c1,056$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce83…5b97backed No73c1,038$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.983773%27 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9de1…160ebacked No69c1,013$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.283271.9%23 W · 9 L+5.6wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7d26…a7d1backed Yes38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3809645.8%44 W · 52 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes28c1,000$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2848739.1%34 W · 53 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…c9b2backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43070%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.