TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0a55…1d25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Stocks, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$4,334Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,333.88
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$374.85
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,214.17
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,639.38
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,078Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,077.75
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Argentina reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,694Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$2,977.25
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.74
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$122.55
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$6,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$1,850.45
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,280
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$947Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$947.05
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $25M committed to the Credible public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$531.35
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,006Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,006.34
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,617.91
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,709.84
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,868.57
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.14
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,736.57
Over $20M committed to the Space public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$415.3
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$9,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+64.8%+$5,899.99
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+33.3%+$1,250
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10,423Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+42.3%+$4,409.9
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT80%0 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.83
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - IEM Atlanta Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,904
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$575
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-59.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$307.96
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,139.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.1%+$1,277.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,173
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.