NFL · resolved market
Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeac6b7e3c7d5c2ef996b47ecf76c2275c12be3d681bec1d7845d30867fa90c48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 9c | 4,225$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 70c | 3,058$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.8 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…5126backed Yes | 24c | 2,198$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed Yes | 16c | 1,905$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 6c | 1,666$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.04 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Yes | 16c | 1,600$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…9cfabacked Yes | 58c | 1,451$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…b0dfbacked No | 67c | 1,451$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4d5ebacked Yes | 35c | 1,431$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690c…6bd7backed Yes | 7c | 1,401$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…1df3backed No | 77c | 1,267$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…9e54backed Yes | 49c | 1,222$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x970a…2d78backed Yes | 25c | 1,218$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 63c | 1,204$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +108.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…4c07backed Yes | 28c | 1,061$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…4ca4backed Yes | 27c | 1,059$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 43c | 1,041$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked Yes | 12c | 970$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…bd71backed Yes | 15c | 894$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Yes | 57c | 884.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 30c | 863.15$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.22 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 41c | 798.3$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1894…d362backed Yes | 23c | 787.97$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed Yes | 14c | 756$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 41cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 57c | 680.86$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…746fbacked Yes | 24c | 654.58$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…3f8bbacked Yes | 15c | 599.69$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +131.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fb…2c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 595.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 27c | 590.21$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.88 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked No | 37c | 579.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.29 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b02…7fbdbacked Yes | 26c | 548.85$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc777…1aadbacked Yes | 42c | 535.17$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 15c | 524.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 54c | 443.93$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 17c | 436.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed No | 45c | 423.14$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.79 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 40c | 373.13$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.88 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dba…c5ffbacked Yes | 21c | 360.35$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked Yes | 23c | 351.31$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…9d35backed Yes | 15c | 335.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e02…4104backed Yes | 26c | 329.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 12c | 320.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.07 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xece7…3673backed No | 38c | 300$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77fd…b6c8backed No | 75c | 300$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 75c | 299.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +377.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked Yes | 9c | 295.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 287.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c46…d22cbacked Yes | 17c | 274.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 15c | 273.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 12c | 272$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2aa…0b4ebacked Yes | 19c | 268.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2d…4fa5backed No | 36c | 260$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…a0a0backed Yes | 19c | 241.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87ce…d935backed Yes | 9c | 224.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…966ebacked No | 72c | 220$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…37ecbacked Yes | 28c | 211.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…046ebacked Yes | 28c | 209.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1daa…bc4bbacked Yes | 10c | 203.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fb…62d8backed Yes | 30c | 200.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5585…10acbacked Yes | 17c | 200.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…6c83backed No | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 75c | 200$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 66 | 7.6%5 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…bbf1backed Yes | 10c | 192.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 74c | 190$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…536ebacked Yes | 11c | 182.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91c9…aaf6backed Yes | 11c | 180.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc596…c316backed Yes | 8c | 178.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 23c | 175.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c7…554dbacked Yes | 13c | 169.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x269b…0a3fbacked Yes | 12c | 168.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 50c | 167.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…4f31backed Yes | 16c | 164.09$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbe…8f37backed Yes | 61c | 163.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…4669backed Yes | 13c | 158.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a19…72a7backed No | 79c | 151.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4172…ac4abacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 60c | 143.58$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.43 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9c…6216backed Yes | 15c | 134.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…f25ebacked Yes | 46c | 131.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 21c | 131$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…f341backed Yes | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 18c | 129.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb513…b9a6backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…0756backed Yes | 20c | 124.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…f7d0backed Yes | 21c | 120.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed Yes | 38c | 112.93$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…04edbacked No | 44c | 112.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +124.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes | 18c | 109.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34f…0f98backed Yes | 23c | 108.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe715…8b42backed Yes | 19c | 106.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed No | 73c | 105.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b5…ef45backed Yes | 28c | 105.51$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6105…cb51backed Yes | 12c | 104.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0e…4e04backed Yes | 54c | 103.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d8…6d1dbacked Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…2251backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…25d2backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.