NFL · resolved market
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2fef85be40ed75fb76607b4f8f55f2e22c31e5de3d254adca4c0211592c4923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $288,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $288,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $288,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f11…ddc4backed Yes | 63c | 30,902$19,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,333.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 39c | 28,496$11,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,121.4 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Yes | 76c | 21,780$16,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,254.41 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 64c | 17,173$10,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,191.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddf…af5fbacked Yes | 58c | 15,190$8,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…d109backed No | 26c | 13,382$3,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,470.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4e…12f1backed No | 35c | 12,824$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,546.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…4c1ebacked No | 43c | 10,359$4,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,447.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 38c | 8,105$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.38 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 42c | 6,850$2,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.65 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 35c | 6,576$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.87 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Yes | 59c | 6,136$3,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 31c | 5,206$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.84 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 63c | 5,203$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,910.35 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…ae50backed Yes | 63c | 4,901$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…e615backed Yes | 59c | 4,240$2,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 53c | 4,089$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7660…c588backed Yes | 47c | 4,020$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,134.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed No | 30c | 4,000$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.53 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…93b6backed No | 51c | 3,799$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…e09cbacked No | 6c | 3,512$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Yes | 69c | 3,404$2,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.21 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed No | 35c | 3,361$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.78 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3420…300bbacked No | 43c | 3,358$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed No | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 63c | 2,912$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked No | 36c | 2,700$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7c…99d1backed Yes | 77c | 2,511$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…8695backed Yes | 65c | 2,484$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 38c | 2,118$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.18 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 27c | 2,060$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…5423backed Yes | 51c | 1,990$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 23c | 1,925$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…8178backed Yes | 56c | 1,770$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 35c | 1,744$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.19 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…80aebacked Yes | 66c | 1,642$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5082…049dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,535$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…4070backed Yes | 59c | 1,533$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…80f2backed No | 33c | 1,517$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ef…4df2backed Yes | 65c | 1,487$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 29c | 1,479$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.44 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…9aabbacked No | 42c | 1,462$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.1 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…7a71backed Yes | 62c | 1,452$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 61c | 1,440$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.63 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 64c | 1,430$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.43 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 62cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 58c | 1,400$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 43c | 1,384$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.14 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…757fbacked No | 37c | 1,257$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa53e…f9f6backed No | 35c | 1,228$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.22 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…3b5cbacked No | 37c | 1,197$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56d4…746fbacked No | 44c | 1,142$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 55c | 1,084$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x065d…7163backed No | 32c | 1,084$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 30c | 1,081$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.74 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 36c | 1,073$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 50c | 1,055$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.09 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed No | 43c | 1,010$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…e169backed No | 25c | 1,002$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…cd66backed Yes | 70c | 1,000$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 29c | 1,000$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9138backed Yes | 60c | 990.81$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.41 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +154.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked No | 27c | 986.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.94 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 66c | 963.11$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.74 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…c3c8backed No | 55c | 946.47$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed No | 21c | 941.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…107fbacked No | 44c | 861.25$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 46c | 833$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.9 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…9817backed No | 3c | 828.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d6…fdd3backed No | 30c | 808.19$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.74 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 15c | 786$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.54 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 35c | 767.93$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.72 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 64c | 694.56$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32f…eef8backed No | 46c | 686.88$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 66c | 680.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…30a2backed Yes | 70c | 659.49$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d8…e7d2backed No | 45c | 649.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed No | 45c | 616.9$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 36c | 600$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 67c | 599.99$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 50c | 550$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed No | 55c | 540.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…68febacked No | 56c | 517.86$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 36c | 500$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.87 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051f…66b0backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…73cfbacked Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…f8f3backed No | 35c | 499.98$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed Yes | 65c | 462.81$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.97 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98d…8fe0backed No | 43c | 458.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked No | 29c | 431.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 59c | 423.98$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 39c | 409$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 60c | 402.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.01 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…18f0backed No | 40c | 400.74$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed No | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…45e6backed No | 27c | 399.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 61c | 399.32$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked No | 42c | 388.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.