NFL · resolved market
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee4c36cd0b2fbf6837a256830dd76809939c4a77d88f77c1578cb14574234b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,884
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x690c…6bd7backed Yes | 5c | 2,146$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…cd15backed Yes | 18c | 1,711$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be0…0c71backed Yes | 12c | 1,657$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 22c | 1,595$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.81 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…c03ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,402$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965d…7773backed Yes | 14c | 1,381$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked Yes | 1c | 1,219$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked No | 55c | 1,160$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 80c | 1,000$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…8908backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6e…5126backed Yes | 40c | 979.43$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 12c | 951.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…cdeebacked Yes | 25c | 874.43$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…e313backed Yes | 13c | 777.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 14c | 719.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 16c | 710$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes | 15c | 665$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 39cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…a09cbacked Yes | 16c | 632.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1890…5629backed Yes | 60c | 559.98$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c7…554dbacked Yes | 11c | 549.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed Yes | 16c | 534$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…8080backed Yes | 8c | 504.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…094abacked Yes | 34c | 470.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7872…581cbacked Yes | 12c | 424.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Yes | 25c | 401.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 16c | 394$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked Yes | 15c | 385$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…d2d0backed Yes | 26c | 381.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 16c | 379.53$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.78 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 14c | 375$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 41cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…e169backed Yes | 23c | 369.32$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 16c | 369$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 15c | 357$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 306.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 65 | 0%0 W · 65 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 14c | 306.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…34f4backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 4c | 283.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7631…4669backed Yes | 11c | 281.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 277.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 144 | 4.9%7 W · 137 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ec…8044backed Yes | 4c | 252.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…0f3abacked Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 24c | 247.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537c…1b5ebacked Yes | 55c | 241.8$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 21c | 240.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 15c | 239.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d13…c8c7backed Yes | 43c | 237.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 11c | 233.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…656ebacked Yes | 7c | 231.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -51%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Yes | 11c | 229.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf964…e224backed Yes | 11c | 219.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 75c | 218.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24e1…9c5fbacked Yes | 7c | 215.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0047…1655backed Yes | 24c | 212.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2f…7e70backed Yes | 11c | 206.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 16c | 205.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…72a0backed Yes | 10c | 204.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 203.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…652abacked No | 23c | 201.12$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed No | 70c | 200.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +377.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 74c | 200.05$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.23 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…497bbacked No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 33c | 200$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…0756backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…b2ffbacked Yes | 10c | 199.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63da…9146backed No | 76c | 192.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…7414backed Yes | 10c | 192.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6c…741fbacked No | 75c | 177.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e4…1a80backed Yes | 11c | 175.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf34…caf1backed Yes | 11c | 174.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae6…8b76backed Yes | 12c | 174.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 172.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Yes | 25c | 169.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 11c | 168.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…2520backed Yes | 25c | 158.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc151…9e94backed Yes | 13c | 156.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4edf…275fbacked Yes | 13c | 155.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed No | 69c | 150$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed50…73cfbacked Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…1c05backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315c…593bbacked Yes | 10c | 133.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed No | 75c | 132.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6105…cb51backed Yes | 13c | 131.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d15…2f53backed Yes | 11c | 131.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…d95cbacked Yes | 11c | 131.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935b…8f4fbacked Yes | 11c | 130.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ea…5423backed Yes | 24c | 125.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 67c | 120.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9176…512cbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…bfc4backed Yes | 14c | 105.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e4…accabacked Yes | 10c | 104.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec2…4d46backed Yes | 15c | 100.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…04cbbacked No | 70c | 100.56$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…f073backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…d384backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…5fadbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce90…d285backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682e…70bdbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed Yes | 15c | 96.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?this page
- Will Allstate run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Amazon run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Anthropic run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Crypto.com run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will DeepSeek run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Gemini run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Google run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Kraken run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Nvidia run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will OpenAI run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Perplexity run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Progressive run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Ripple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Robinhood run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will Salesforce run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Solana run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will State Farm run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Toyota run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?Yes won
- Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
- Will xAI or X run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.