TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc0e0…1ace

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Middle East, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 51 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST3953.8%21 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$703Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$703.3
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Miami Heat?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$152.96
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to Minnesota Timberwolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$163.8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+76%+$844.98
Bulls vs. Bucksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Nuggets vs. Pistonsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$499.56
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$125
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$170
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+132.6%+$171
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$264
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$207.9
Nuggets vs. Bucksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+88.7%+$282
Hawks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$340
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+203%+$402
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$132
Spurs vs. Rocketsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$237.82
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$200
Bucks vs. Hawksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+79%+$220.6
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+88.5%+$234.8
Pacers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Mavericks vs. Knicksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+203%+$201
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.9%+$174.11
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-57%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$30.45
Will Hyundai run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$215.11
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+154.5%+$1,274.86
Will Coca Cola run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100.78
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$719Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$719
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+150%+$81.25
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$500.47
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+41.2%+$119.6
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$699.75
Will "LA MUDANZA" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$201
Will "BAILE INOLVIDABLE" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$138.6
Will Lady Gaga perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$309.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+56.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.52
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+212.5%+$340
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$345
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$107.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$501.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.