Chess · resolved market
Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87cfa4eeb148ea2b725e696c6daaa570f8fd89bd7433db1c7da4ee7c6267ec23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $483,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $325,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $483,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c32…f0aebacked Yes | 11c | 93,280$10,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,039.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes | 2c | 27,658$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.63 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 3c | 25,325$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.47 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 12,585$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…ca97backed Yes | 1c | 11,171$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x703f…ba86backed Yes | 4c | 10,646$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f1a7backed Yes | 12c | 10,391$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 8,468$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Yes | 2c | 7,330$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 8c | 4,999$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.91 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 5c | 4,931$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…5874backed Yes | 1c | 3,706$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 2c | 3,627$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.59 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c39…f064backed Yes | 13c | 3,589$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 4c | 3,350$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.34 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 10c | 3,119$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.3 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 1c | 3,095$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…80d1backed Yes | 11c | 2,789$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,456$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.17 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 3c | 2,185$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab4…ad3cbacked Yes | 10c | 2,115$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 2c | 2,046$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…5d51backed Yes | 10c | 1,964$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…39e3backed Yes | 11c | 1,940$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cd…68fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,773$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…6facbacked Yes | 2c | 1,764$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…958dbacked Yes | 12c | 1,718$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…4f23backed Yes | 11c | 1,706$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…c21dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,702$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12a…4e71backed Yes | 11c | 1,683$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1a…fea8backed Yes | 11c | 1,563$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…b95dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,549$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374f…64acbacked Yes | 11c | 1,520$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…f59fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,477$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b1…41cebacked Yes | 11c | 1,256$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 2c | 1,238$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…bbcbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,183$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…e5e5backed Yes | 11c | 1,113$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…9cb5backed Yes | 11c | 1,081$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…0f69backed Yes | 12c | 1,060$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2d…3862backed Yes | 10c | 1,028$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b1…caeebacked Yes | 10c | 1,026$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…01bcbacked Yes | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccb…c902backed Yes | 1c | 1,010$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…9161backed Yes | 10c | 1,009$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e0…1acebacked Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…fadbbacked Yes | 2c | 990$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…be19backed Yes | 11c | 971$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x572b…be9ebacked Yes | 10c | 949$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…0967backed Yes | 2c | 940$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 914.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes | 11c | 910.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…76ddbacked Yes | 10c | 910$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a78…896ebacked Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…312dbacked Yes | 11c | 902$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…37f1backed Yes | 11c | 875$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ac…ff7fbacked Yes | 11c | 873$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 8c | 837.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.03 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 812.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9976…9fc9backed Yes | 11c | 805$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…56ecbacked Yes | 10c | 776$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…3630backed Yes | 11c | 772$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…55f2backed Yes | 11c | 703$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…c061backed Yes | 11c | 692.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4aa…8d98backed Yes | 9c | 554.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…f256backed Yes | 11c | 440$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…6d38backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…bdbabacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 9c | 379.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…242ebacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…1620backed Yes | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 10c | 315$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad12…a803backed Yes | 10c | 311.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…a1e4backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…569bbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…5732backed Yes | 10c | 245.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…cb63backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…a397backed Yes | 6c | 220$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 10c | 210$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…4a1ebacked Yes | 8c | 201.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…72febacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 7c | 199.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 8c | 193.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…e118backed Yes | 13c | 186.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…9e76backed Yes | 11c | 172.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 10c | 169.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc580…371ebacked Yes | 10c | 160$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330d…101bbacked Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…d8dabacked Yes | 8c | 145.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…1038backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…297fbacked Yes | 11c | 120.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?this page
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes won
- Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.