Chess · resolved market
Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x547e25afb5383d7c0a9784b6abb428f6fbbca6f4cec4ddd078d54873c113711c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 3c | 22,722$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.7 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 16,919$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 8c | 15,974$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,337.9 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…3bd2backed Yes | 8c | 11,910$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…f16bbacked Yes | 8c | 11,661$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 2c | 10,655$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.41 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 6c | 9,486$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.94 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x129f…ca97backed Yes | 5c | 8,817$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…6161backed Yes | 1c | 8,001$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -67%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 2c | 7,643$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 4c | 7,157$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 4c | 7,091$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.25 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 6,383$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.85 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…8feebacked Yes | 3c | 6,004$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 7c | 5,657$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…501dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,378$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 4c | 5,078$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…971bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,813$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf71…c21dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,670$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…4f89backed Yes | 3c | 3,814$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccd…1ec9backed Yes | 3c | 3,732$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc211…d061backed Yes | 8c | 3,684$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38d…a651backed Yes | 4c | 3,421$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…9739backed Yes | 6c | 3,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 3c | 2,986$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,890$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…6752backed Yes | 6c | 2,797$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…2d0bbacked Yes | 9c | 2,790$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…545cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,766$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…958dbacked Yes | 8c | 2,641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…515bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,612$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 2,495$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…9403backed Yes | 3c | 2,438$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…b651backed Yes | 8c | 2,383$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424a…04cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,380$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…b01ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 2,269$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Yes | 2c | 2,167$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 3c | 2,068$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.62 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 4c | 2,058$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 7c | 2,056$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635a…81cabacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…5732backed Yes | 3c | 1,951$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,885$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 10c | 1,878$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 2c | 1,851$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd036…49d3backed Yes | 2c | 1,741$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,709$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…4c1fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,697$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe721…4a27backed Yes | 2c | 1,687$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 2c | 1,673$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd97f…7705backed Yes | 11c | 1,669$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c46…5994backed Yes | 2c | 1,662$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c7…f87ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,656$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…5874backed Yes | 3c | 1,640$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…e47fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,593$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x563d…0f60backed Yes | 9c | 1,563$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…fc94backed Yes | 3c | 1,541$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Yes | 9c | 1,527$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3efd…b982backed Yes | 10c | 1,523$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 9c | 1,507$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3336…f823backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…8531backed Yes | 1c | 1,475$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…d300backed Yes | 3c | 1,459$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41f…19d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,453$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…ab45backed Yes | 1c | 1,422$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,408$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…6facbacked Yes | 3c | 1,404$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Yes | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,281$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…6361backed Yes | 10c | 1,269$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 10cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Yes | 9c | 1,250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 5c | 1,248$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…d64dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,212$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9329…9d3ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,183$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…ae13backed Yes | 9c | 1,178$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +235.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…61dfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,156$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21cb…5f69backed Yes | 11c | 1,152$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes | 8c | 1,123$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 2c | 1,089$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Yes | 6c | 1,079$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed Yes | 8c | 1,075$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1267…35d1backed Yes | 11c | 1,025$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,020$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…aa9dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbe…bbdabacked Yes | 3c | 1,015$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…b806backed Yes | 2c | 1,010$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…2599backed Yes | 3c | 1,010$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…416fbacked Yes | 11c | 962$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 6c | 957.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb00…76a2backed Yes | 6c | 928.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…0fa7backed Yes | 9c | 834.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…d42cbacked Yes | 2c | 817.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…134fbacked Yes | 11c | 797$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fb50backed Yes | 1c | 749.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 22cpaid | +154.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…05d7backed Yes | 6c | 726.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 8c | 709.64$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?this page
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes won
- Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.