Chess · resolved market
Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbfd84d4f57ef963df2fadbe3a718a2012aecbfef563daea2b5f83faa03490f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $314,602
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,536
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $314,602 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 8c | 19,409$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.54 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Yes | 7c | 19,346$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.13 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…ca79backed Yes | 7c | 15,991$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…ab03backed Yes | 9c | 11,734$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.7 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 18c | 11,465$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes | 5c | 9,766$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.68 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 11c | 8,019$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.04 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 12c | 6,165$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.82 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 6c | 5,733$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 1c | 5,500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07a…4f89backed Yes | 2c | 5,228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5efc…05d3backed Yes | 12c | 4,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62cf…5826backed Yes | 13c | 3,850$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.1 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6507…4c1fbacked Yes | 12c | 3,740$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 3,709$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 7c | 3,680$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Yes | 11c | 3,555$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880c…440abacked Yes | 9c | 3,243$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.89 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…5874backed Yes | 1c | 3,094$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 3c | 3,002$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…9739backed Yes | 8c | 2,517$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1579…cc72backed Yes | 12c | 2,083$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 2,028$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 16c | 1,870$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.57 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7762…309ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,742$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,734$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.49 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…a48fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,726$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed Yes | 10c | 1,714$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fb…e28fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,704$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…504fbacked Yes | 11c | 1,636$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…fd5ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,590$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01e2…5d51backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +130.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538f…f59fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…6769backed Yes | 8c | 1,448$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b26…501dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,430$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 25cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…b95dbacked Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 9c | 1,419$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,395$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…200bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,317$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…21b8backed Yes | 15c | 1,310$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f2…710fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,195$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Yes | 16c | 1,193$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d2…27b3backed Yes | 10c | 1,173$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…33e6backed Yes | 14c | 1,099$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 4c | 1,062$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yes | 13c | 1,001$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…c061backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…d300backed Yes | 3c | 993.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…3a00backed Yes | 2c | 992.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…73ddbacked Yes | 10c | 950.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 17c | 900$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 12c | 899.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 7c | 882.36$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 854.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed Yes | 4c | 800.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2813…958dbacked Yes | 13c | 754.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba7…b461backed Yes | 13c | 720$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5a…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 681.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7741…29f0backed Yes | 11c | 627.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +139.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…1bbbbacked Yes | 8c | 617.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 609.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Yes | 13c | 605.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3559…4d76backed Yes | 18c | 553.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…56cbbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee6…d412backed Yes | 17c | 463.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…5548backed Yes | 17c | 460$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4213…6940backed Yes | 17c | 433.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Yes | 4c | 413.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…6facbacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…4655backed Yes | 15c | 344.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…5b41backed Yes | 12c | 327.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e0…72a6backed Yes | 11c | 327.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…5e6abacked Yes | 13c | 314.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x025c…c306backed Yes | 6c | 300.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…fb88backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…bed4backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…dcd8backed Yes | 12c | 299.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…7a20backed Yes | 5c | 298.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…a0d3backed Yes | 18c | 276.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…bac3backed Yes | 12c | 230$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 5c | 223.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…4a1ebacked Yes | 17c | 220.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 8c | 219.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb098…1038backed Yes | 9c | 210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…abf7backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aff…c6f1backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…9592backed Yes | 23c | 199.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97f…9337backed Yes | 13c | 195.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929f…9884backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…72febacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 13c | 180$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb24e…22f4backed Yes | 11c | 176.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…19bebacked Yes | 19c | 174.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 6c | 172.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 18c | 169.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?this page
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes won
- Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.