Chess · resolved market
Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x412f2b0af1d4dbc7a250224950f80cf868f35b447ea75d9663ab4060a7f77f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $544,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked Yes | 3c | 32,278$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…b62ebacked Yes | 3c | 19,492$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.73 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x748a…3c56backed Yes | 1c | 19,209$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 2c | 18,630$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Yes | 3c | 17,510$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…f1a7backed Yes | 4c | 14,202$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 0c | 13,500$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Yes | 1c | 8,035$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 3c | 7,852$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.94 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0db0…c7cabacked Yes | 2c | 7,627$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb04…8b8abacked Yes | 0c | 7,062$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +264.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 2c | 6,695$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…9c50backed Yes | 2c | 5,477$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.31 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,173$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a2…f2c2backed Yes | 3c | 4,271$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…7a26backed Yes | 5c | 3,896$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38d…ac55backed Yes | 0c | 3,711$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2677…7feebacked Yes | 5c | 3,695$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 3,457$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…f06abacked Yes | 5c | 3,183$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…25cdbacked Yes | 5c | 3,172$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…33a7backed Yes | 5c | 3,119$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ad…e8c0backed Yes | 2c | 2,927$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x422b…55f2backed Yes | 5c | 2,902$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x494d…92d8backed Yes | 5c | 2,821$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…6facbacked Yes | 1c | 2,755$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…416bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,662$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2074…188bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,629$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…1c49backed Yes | 5c | 2,535$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…7a8ebacked Yes | 5c | 2,490$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 3c | 2,478$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…e623backed Yes | 5c | 2,401$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…134fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,363$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…a529backed Yes | 5c | 2,268$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5180…23dbbacked Yes | 5c | 2,254$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…0b21backed Yes | 5c | 2,214$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…c1cdbacked Yes | 5c | 2,195$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa114…bd0abacked Yes | 5c | 2,168$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,125$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.39 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…d43fbacked Yes | 5c | 2,115$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c5…7a13backed Yes | 3c | 2,102$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x639d…76ddbacked Yes | 5c | 2,037$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5fadbacked Yes | 5c | 1,859$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9816…cc22backed Yes | 3c | 1,841$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…c9c2backed Yes | 5c | 1,827$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,793$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…899dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,762$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 4c | 1,742$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2905…2affbacked Yes | 5c | 1,716$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742a…b5e4backed Yes | 3c | 1,629$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…d64dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,597$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06b…d199backed Yes | 5c | 1,547$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4751…3609backed Yes | 5c | 1,536$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfd…545cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…174cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,492$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…2c30backed Yes | 5c | 1,441$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…6895backed Yes | 5c | 1,426$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf770…b9afbacked Yes | 5c | 1,413$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b57…fdd1backed Yes | 5c | 1,394$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…be04backed Yes | 5c | 1,394$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f0…4938backed Yes | 5c | 1,374$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6d…66b7backed Yes | 5c | 1,371$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…727dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,331$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3eb…37f1backed Yes | 5c | 1,243$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…d3bcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,241$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…d9aabacked Yes | 5c | 1,239$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Yes | 4c | 1,184$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bf…a028backed Yes | 5c | 1,180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…f894backed Yes | 3c | 1,160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 3c | 1,160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…f1cebacked Yes | 5c | 1,139$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa7…295fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,128$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9a…308cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,034$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e6…24a1backed Yes | 3c | 1,010$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…a92abacked Yes | 5c | 926$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…fcf0backed Yes | 5c | 911$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68f…e9f6backed Yes | 5c | 889$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Yes | 3c | 790.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…6e8cbacked Yes | 5c | 775$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x714b…cf00backed Yes | 5c | 759$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…d38fbacked Yes | 5c | 738$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…bb85backed Yes | 5c | 730$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…54a9backed Yes | 5c | 718$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c4…a54abacked Yes | 5c | 715$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…bf17backed Yes | 5c | 712$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e3…a569backed Yes | 5c | 709$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Yes | 3c | 670.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd3…5d5fbacked Yes | 5c | 668$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…0fa7backed Yes | 3c | 662.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedcd…3e7bbacked Yes | 5c | 637$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50b…0ef2backed Yes | 5c | 627$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…9cb5backed Yes | 5c | 626$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95dcbacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…345dbacked Yes | 5c | 581$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 569.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…5652backed Yes | 5c | 566$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…219ebacked Yes | 5c | 560$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…ec29backed Yes | 4c | 534$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…d8dabacked Yes | 3c | 532.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andrey Esipenko win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?this page
- Will Anish Giri win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?Yes won
- Will Matthias Bluebaum win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
- Will Wei Yi win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.